Despite the Obama-Xi handshake deal, the probability of confrontation will only heighten as long as the PLA remains a black box.

Ata Nov. 12 news conference in Beijing, General Secretary of the Communist Party Xi Jinping and U.S. President Barack Obamaagreed to notify the other side before major military activities, and to develop a set of rules of behavior for sea and air encounters, in order to avoid military confrontations in Asia. "It's incredibly important that we avoid inadvertent escalation," Ben Rhodes, a U.S. deputy national security adviser, told the Wall Street Journal. An "accidental circumstance," he said, could "lead into something that could precipitate a conflict."China and the United States Are Preparing for War by Thavam Ratna