The Dalai Lama has no time to lose
( October 3, 2017, Chennai, Sri Lanka Guardian) The recent Doklam episode, where China tried to show it’s muscle power in it’s border with Bhutan and India resisted it and finally China gave up it’s war cry, clearly indicate that China is now vulnerable.
State of Chinese economy :
In the past ,China has built capacity at feverish pitch registering steady growth in production and GDP which exceeded 7.5% at one stage.
China’s economy has grown by leaps and bounds in the last two decades and the present capacity build up in industries and infrastructure in China is much more than what China needs. In the case of some products and chemicals, the capacity build up in China is not only more than what China needs but also more than what the world needs.
China’s economy has grown by leaps and bounds in the last two decades and the present capacity build up in industries and infrastructure in China is much more than what China needs. In the case of some products and chemicals, the capacity build up in China is not only more than what China needs but also more than what the world needs.
However, China’s debt has now surpassed 304% of it’s GDP and debt fuelled consumer demand account for 71% of China’s economic growth .With inability to market the products produced in China in domestic and world market due to over capacity build up, China’s GDP has slowed down to 6.7% in 2016 from 6.9% in 2015 and is likely to drop down to around 6.2% in 2017.
China’s dependence on world market :
In the above scenario, China is now dependent on the world market to sustain it’s growth and protect it’s economy from passing into crisis stage due to massive under utilization of capacity built up in China at heavy cost , China cannot afford to go for any conflict with any country or antagonize the world opinion, that would affect the prospects for marketing it’s products and services across the world.
Such conditions now faced by China explain as to why it backed out from risking military conflict with India over Doklam issue. This also explains as to why China is not ready to provide open support to North Korea in it’s present conflict with South Korea, Japan and USA.
It is well known that China is the only major trade partner for North Korea and most of North Korea’s supply needs are met by China, though it is not known as to what is the level of trade deficit between China and North Korea. Obviously, North Korea enjoys sort of protectorate status in it’s relations with China and is an important ally for China in it’s plan for long term global domination. Even as President Trump threatened to wipe out North Korea (which appears to be a rhetoric ) , China is careful and has exercised great caution not to antagonize USA by taking any stand in support of North Korea.
Further, in recent times, China has been inevitably integrating itself with the world market and global economy by investing in several countries in the world by way of overseas acquisition of projects and technical research collaboration. Therefore, China cannot have it’s own way in any issue unmindful of others and it has no alternative other than seeking and ensuring cooperation with all regions.
Time now to advance Tibet’s cause :
In other words, China is now vulnerable to international pressure and cannot ignore the world opinion anymore. It has to shed it’s image as a bully and this is what the Chinese government is now trying to do with great efforts.
In this scenario, it is necessary that the world should be reminded about the Chinese occupation of Tibet and how China forcibly entered Tibet, mercilessly put down the freedom fighters in Tibet and drove them out of the country. World should be strongly told that China now occupying Tibet is immoral and unethical and China is an aggressor as far as Tibet is concerned.
here are some unacceptable arguments that United Kingdom recognized Tibet as an integral part of China and India too has done this. This does not provide legitimacy for China’s occupation of Tibet. Who are United Kingdom and India to recognize Tibet as part of China and what authority they have to do so ? It is the opinion of the Tibetans that should matter in asserting Tibet’s independence and the rights of Tibetans have to be recognized .
No time to lose :
His Holiness The Dalai Lama commands great respect amongst cross section of people everywhere and it is largely recognized that he represents the voice of peace, wisdom and civilization. The Dalai Lama, inspite of his age, is active and should become more “aggressive” and open in voicing the need for winning freedom back for Tibet.
Considering the Dalai Lama’s advanced age and the present climate where China is vulnerable to international pressure and China desperately needs the goodwill across countries to sell it’s products and support it’s economy, there is unlikely to be a more conducive time to take the fight for the liberation of Tibet to a greater and ultimate height.
As a towering leader of Tibet, the Dalai Lama need to utilize his moral strength and gather the world opinion in favour of Tibetan cause, so that China will be left with no alternative other than taking note of it and bowing to the world opinion and come to negotiating table with Tibetan leaders.
The Dalai Lama has no time to lose.
