War In Europe And Instability In Lanka
By Kumar David -May 11, 2014
Dr. Kumar David
NATO is on a very sticky wicket: War in Europe and instability in Lanka
As Ukraine and Europe inch closer to war there will be huge consequences (will moribund global capitalism benefit or further decline?) and contradictory effects on Lanka. War in Europe is not inevitable but military brinkmanship with a hard-to-predict momentum is unfolding. Ukraine in its present from is finished; what next? Civil war seems unavoidable and Russian intervention in some form, exactly how and when is still not clear, is assured. One can’t read Putin’s script but the aces are in his hand. Then, how will NATO respond? Can Germany, desperate to avoid pan-European conflict, and America, facing opposing internal lobbies, hold together and formulate strategy in common? I would like to do some crystal-ball gazing today.
It is also not too early to think about how to deal with the Lankan scenario if conditions deteriorate in Europe. The uncertainties are complicated by a likely change of government in India and a Lankan regime which has all but taken leave of its rational senses. Will a local Goebbels see global turmoil as a crack in the door for the military jackboot? If so can the cowardly people of Lanka fight back? Has the JVP got the balls and the brawn to lead a fight back? Maybe, but it is less certain whether it has the acumen to do it correctly, not conspiratorially. The poor JVP must feel as if it has unexpectedly been made captain; then sent out to bat at number eleven.
