Economic Woes Of Post-Civil War Sri Lanka Are Due To Lack Of Neo-Liberalism: A Rejoinder To Ahilan Kadirgamar
Ahilan Kadirgamar is not the first one to suggest causation between open economic policies and the civil war in Sri Lanka. To my recollection it was Charles Abeysekera and Newton Gunasinghe (jointly) were the first ones to suggest such causation in 1987. It was followed by David Dunham and Sisira Jayasuriya in 2001. None of the foregoing convinces this author.
It is a misnomer and a figment to term the present economic regime neoliberal for the following reasons:
- Firstly, the regime of President Rajapaksa has not only avowed NOT to privatise any state-owned enterprises but gone further and reversed few major privatisations (total or partial) undertaken during the previous Kumaratunga government such as the privatisation of Air Lanka (partial privatisation to Emirates Airlines) and Ceylon Gas Company (total privatisation to Shell Gas Lanka). In addition, few privatisations such as the Sri Lanka Insurance Company and Lanka Marines were reversed on the order of the Supreme Court. Only the partial privatisation of Sri Lanka Telecom under the Kumaratunga regime survives renationalisation to date.
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Discretion That Leads To Policy Inconsistency Is The Biggest Enemy Of A Central Banker
Difference between a programmed computer and a central bankerIf one asks the question “who is the biggest enemy of a central banker?”, the answer plainly hits on the discretionary powers given to central bankers by the statutes under which central banks have been established. It is not because discretionary powers are unnecessary or harmful, but because those powers have been mishandled by those within as well as outside central banks.There is a fundamental difference between a programmed computer and a central banker. A programmed computer will work according to a set of established rules and will not deviate from them until its final target is achieved. In other words, there is no possibility for a programmed computer to abandon its mission midway through if the ground conditions become unfavourable to its work. Thus, the client of the programmed computer can depend on it for delivering the desired result, come rain or shine.Changing environment permits central bankers to change tooA central banker too starts his work with a set of rules to guide him. For instance, if he is to bring inflation down to a certain value, he starts with a money supply target based on his best projection of the growth in the economy, how will the external sector look like and how the government will behave in the forthcoming period. However, whilst on this mission, he is given powers to deviate from the rules and pursue a mission completely different from his original mission. These powers known as the discretion of a central banker have made central bankers in the eyes of their clients totally unreliable and undependable. If there is anything that has caused central bankers to lose their face, credibility and reputation it is nothing but the use of these discretionary powers for serving the interests of powerful groups. Read More

