Peace for the World

Peace for the World
First democratic leader of Justice the Godfather of the Sri Lankan Tamil Struggle: Honourable Samuel James Veluppillai Chelvanayakam

Thursday, June 28, 2018

“Alarming trend” in Gaza infant mortality

The decline in infant mortality in Gaza has stagnated since 2006, according to a new study.
Mohammed TalateneAPA images

Maureen Clare Murphy- 26 June 2018
Infant mortality in Gaza, in sharp decline since the 1960s, has stagnated over the past decade, according to a new study.
The estimated infant mortality rate amongst Palestinian refugees in the territory has not declined since 2006. Refugees make up about 70 percent of Gaza’s population of two million.
This is an alarm bell about the health of Gaza’s whole population, experts say.
The period of stagnation coincides with Israel’s ongoing siege on the territory that has hit nearly all aspects of life hard.
Infant mortality – the death of a child within the first year of life – is decreasing in most of the world.
UNRWA, the United Nations agency for Palestine refugees, called the stalled decline in Gaza an “alarming trend.”
“Infant mortality is a barometer of the health of an entire population,” Dr. Akihiro Seita, director of UNRWA’s health department and a co-author of the study, stated.

Stagnated decline in infant mortality

There had been huge improvements in the chances of survival for babies in Gaza. Estimated infant mortality fell from 127 per 1,000 live births in 1960 to 20.2 in 2006, previous UNRWA studies found.
In 2011 the rate was measured at 22.4.
A follow-up survey conducted in 2015 – the focus of the new report published by PLoS ONE journal – found an estimated infant mortality rate of 22.7 percent.
The authors of the study had previously found that the neonatal mortality rate – the number of babies dying during the first 28 days of life – had significantly risen since 2006.
That study, published in 2015, found that the neonatal mortality rate among babies born to Palestinian refugees in Gaza had risen from 12.1 per 1,000 live births in 2006 to 20.3 in 2011.
“There is no evidence from the current study that this rise has persisted,” the authors state, but add that work needs to be done to understand why the infant and newborn mortality rates have stopped going down.
For years Gaza’s health sector has been on the verge of collapse after successive Israeli assaults, chronic power shortages, drug shortages and deteriorating functionality of medical equipment due to Israel’s blockade.
The authors state that “it is reasonable to assume” that these factors “have had an impact on the quality of medical care with a consequent impact on infant mortality.”
“Although it is not possible with our data to attribute the stalled decline in infant mortality to the siege, it should be noted that the stalling began at the same time as the siege,” the authors add.
The study also points out the “widely divergent” infant mortality rates in Gaza versus those in Israel, which are far lower.
The study states that infant mortality in Israel fell below 20 per 1,000 live births in 1977, and fell to 3 per 1,000 in 2015.
However, different methodologies have been used to estimate infant mortality, complicating comparisons between different populations.

Crisis

There is no doubt that Gaza’s health sector crisis is largely of Israel’s making.
Israel’s use of live fire during Great March of Return protests along Gaza’s eastern boundary, killing more than 100 and wounding thousands more, have exacerbated the pressure on overstretched hospitals.
Government hospitals in Gaza suspended care to non-emergency patients due to the influx of injuries at the height of the protests.
The outlook for Gaza’s beleaguered healthcare system is grim.
Improving care for mothers and newborns is critical to reducing neonatal deaths and infant mortality, according to the study.
But it warns that without a “healthier political and socioeconomic situation,” and in the face of severe cuts to UNRWA’s funding, reducing infant mortality will “remain challenging.”
The United States was the largest single donor to UNRWA before the Trump administration announced cuts in contributions to the agency in January.
The US has since withheld $305 million, leaving the agency scrambling to raise $200 million in emergency funds to cover such basics as rice, flour, sugar and education.
Earlier this month, former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan warned that if the shortfall is not met soon, UNRWA “may be unable to provide schooling for half a million children in the coming school year, and be obliged to reduce other key humanitarian services.”

Gaza teen dies after being shot on Israel border: Ministry


Israeli forces claimed two Palestinians had been attempting to breach the Gaza border

Palestinian protesters demonstrate along the border between the Gaza Strip and Israel, east of Khan Younis (AFP)


Thursday 28 June 2018

A Palestinian teenager died on Thursday after being hit by Israeli tank fire on the Gaza border, the besieged strip's health ministry said.
Abdel Fattah Abu Azoum, 17, was hit in the head earlier in the day near Rafah in southern Gaza, the ministry said.
The Israeli army said he and a companion were seeking to breach the border.
"Troops identified two terrorists who were crawling towards the security fence in an attempt to cross it from the southern Gaza Strip into Israel," it said in a statement, adding that a tank then fired upon them.
The army alleged firebombs had been found at the scene.
Palestinian witnesses confirmed the two were seeking to breach the border.
Palestinian medics said the other escaped with minor injuries.
On Tuesday, the Israeli air force claimed that it targeted a vehicle in Gaza that had launched "explosive balloons" and kites towards southern Israel.
In a statement released on Wednesday, the Israeli army alleged the vehicle belonged to a high-ranking Hamas commander.
Late on Tuesday, an Israeli air strike and tank fire had also targeted a vehicle belonging to a Hamas official, said the statement. Two Hamas observation posts in northern Gaza were also hit, the Israeli army said. There were no reports of casualties on the Palestinian side.
The air strike came a day after Hamas activists fired a dozen explosive projectiles towards Israel from the Gaza Strip. The projectiles, which Israeli media identified as rockets, caused no casualties or damage.
Hamas said its military wing was retaliating against Israeli army attacks on Palestinian civilians and fighters. 
"The occupation's escalation and its targeting of the peaceful Palestinians and Palestinian fighters prompted us to act," Hamas spokesman Fawzi Barhoum said in an English-language statement.
Since protests broke out along the Gaza border on 30 March demanding the right of return for Palestinian refugees from Israel, at least 135 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli fire.
The majority were involved in protests but others have been seeking to breach or damage the border fence.
No Israelis have been killed.


Pakistan-based militant group LeT killed Kashmiri editor Shujaat Bukhari - police



Bullet marks are seen on the car of Syed Shujaat Bukhari, the editor of Rising Kashmir daily newspaper, after unidentified gunmen attacked him outside his office in Srinagar, June 14, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer

Fayaz Bukhari-JUNE 28, 2018

SRINAGAR (Reuters) - Indian police accused Pakistan-based militant group Lashkar-e-Taiba on Thursday of the murder of a prominent journalist in Kashmir which had heightened tensions in the disputed region.

A senior police official released the names and pictures of four people who he said were involved in the June 14 murder of Syed Shujaat Bukhari. The editor of the Rising Kashmir newspaper had been a strong advocate of peace in the region.

Kashmir has been at the heart of decades of hostility between India and Pakistan, both of which claim the region and have gone to war over it twice since independence from Britain in 1947.

Kashmir’s Inspector General of Police S.P. Pani said one of the gunmen, Sajad Gul, was a Kashmiri based in Pakistan, while the others - Ajaz Ahmad Malik, Muzaffar Ahmad and Naveed Jutt - were Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) militants.

Two gunmen including Jutt, an LeT commander, pulled the trigger, Pani told reporters.

“Investigations revealed that the conspiracy was hatched in Pakistan,” he said.

“There was a series of campaigns used against Shujaat,” Pani said, adding that five to six hate messages against Bukhari were circulated on Twitter and Facebook before his killing.

Gul, who obtained a fake passport and left India in March last year, wrote the messages, Pani said.
The LeT, which has been accused of plotting attacks in India, denied any involvement in Bukhari’s murder on Wednesday after local media reports, which quoted anonymous sources, said the Pakistan-based organisation was behind the killing.

“This is nothing but a blatant lie,” an LeT spokesman said in a statement.

Bukhari was shot dead by three assailants when he was leaving his office in the city centre of Srinagar, the capital of Indian-administered Jammu and Kashmir state.


People carry the body of Syed Shujaat Bukhari, the editor-in-chief of local newspaper "Rising Kashmir", who according to local media was killed by unidentified gunmen outside his office in Srinagar, during his funeral in Kreeri, north of Srinagar, June 15, 2018. REUTERS/Danish Ismail

Earlier this month, days after Bukhari’s killing, India’s governing Bharatiya Janata Party quit the ruling coalition in Jammu and Kashmir and called for federal control over the region, citing a deterioration in security.
Rappler boss says women journalists are ‘holding the line’ in Philippine media

2018-01-22T000000Z_1441095282_RC1307A7EDF0_RTRMADP_3_PHILIPPINES-MEDIA-940x580

Rappler CEO Maria Ressa visits the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) on Taft avenue in metro Manila, Philippines January 22, 2018. Source: Reuters/Dondi Tawatao


BEING a journalist in the Philippines against the backdrop of President Rodrigo Duterte’s hardline administration comes with grave challenges, and perhaps no one else knows that better than Maria Ressa, the female powerhouse behind the largest online news organisation in the country.

As the Duterte administration approaches its second year, Ressa, who helms Rappler as the editor and CEO, has faced a multitude of attacks; from being called a “presstitute” right down calls for her rape, among many other physical threats.
The harsh realities, however, have not deterred the veteran journalist who carries 30 years of experience under her belt, coupled numerous international awards to commend her courage and bravery in reporting without fear or favour.

And with plenty of tales to share, Asian Correspondent met with the Golden Pen of Freedom award recipient on the sidelines of the East-West Center International Media conference in Singapore this week for a brief take on her career and life as a female journalist.


“You’re kind of being foolish if you’re going to be a journalist,” she quipped.

“As you can see, women journalists are holding the line and the attacks against women journalists are exponential and slowly we’re coming together and we’re realising that we need to fight this together. I’m worried about the values of the next generation of young men.”

Activists and commentators have long accused Duterte of being a sexist because of his rhetoric towards women – particularly those who are critics of his administration. In February, he said female communist insurgents should be shot in the vagina.

“I think this rising sexism and misogyny shows you perhaps how thin the layer of liberal values we have and maybe we’re not as liberal as we thought we were,” Ressa said.
“At the same time it makes you think, how much depth do we have, how have we really fought for our battles, and I think that’s the upside for it.”

2018-02-24T021027Z_645345286_RC1B62DC4D10_RTRMADP_3_PHILIPPINES-DRUGS-CHURCH
Participants display placards as they participate in a procession against plans to reimpose death penalty and intensify drug war during “Walk for Life” in Luneta park, Metro Manila, Philippines February 24, 2018. Source: Reuters/Romeo Ranoco

“Because you’re forced to fight for things you believe in, like your values, these are fundamental. And because of that, you define who you are.”

Since the beginning of the year, Rappler has been hit by at least six legal suits by Duterte’s administration, a move which many say is a bid to shut the popular news organisation down. He has long criticised the outlet, including claiming that they could be linked to the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).

Ressa says Rappler is among three major news organisations targeted by the government.
“We’re not alone, we’re the third newsgroup that President Duterte has attacked. They first attacked the largest newspaper (The Inquirer), soon after the legal cases were filed, they announced that they will be selling the paper to a friend of the president. I’m not sure whether that sale is going through, I hear it isn’t right now.


ABS-CBN News has to get a franchise, the president has threatened not to do it. We’re third on his list but, we’re the top online-only group in the Philippines. But I think the difference between those two and us is that we have the millennials, the largest segment that watches Rappler are 18 to 35 years old,”

“I’m a stubborn person you know, I don’t like being bullied and neither do the founders of Rappler,” Ressa said. “Our journalists are outspoken – we call a spade, a spade. Our reporter will tell the emperor he has no clothes, as will the editors.”

DSCN4257
Rappler Editor and CEO Maria Ressa speaks during a plenary panel at the International Media Conference organised by the East West Center on June 25, 2018. Source: A. Azim Idris

Unlike many other newsgroups the majority owners of Rappler are the journalists. “So we decided even if it is bad business to do journalism, that we will do good journalism,” said Ressa.

“We must continue doing coverage of the drug war, we must continue doing coverage on every single policy shift that is changing our constitution.”

President Trump announces a major U.S. Steel expansion — that isn’t happening

President Trump referenced a phone call with the "head of U.S. Steel" during a roundtable on June 20.


“The head of U.S. Steel called me the other day, and he said, ‘We’re opening up six major facilities and expanding facilities that have never been expanded.’ They haven’t been opened in many, many years.”
— President Trump, roundtable with American workers, Duluth, Minn., June 20, 2018
“U.S. Steel just announced they’re expanding or building six new facilities.”

— Trump, remarks at the White House, June 26

“I’ve been hearing that from steel companies, and in particular from U.S. Steel, where I was with the president, as I said. And he — they’re just talking about opening plants now, and so many things have changed.”

— Trump, roundtable on tax reform, Cleveland, May 5

Here’s a puzzler: Why is the president of the United States announcing the opening of new factories that a major U.S. company has not announced?

U.S. Steel is a publicly traded company, so it is supposed to disclose materially important information. The opening of six major facilities and the expansion of even more would be huge news.
Yet all U.S. Steel has announced is that it will restart two blast furnaces and steelmaking facilities at the company’s Granite City Works integrated plant in Illinois — one in March and the other in October.  The reopening of the first blast furnace was announced in March, resulting in 500 jobs, and the second was announced in June, adding 300. The plant had been closed since 2015.
Let’s explore.

The Facts

President Trump has a tendency to cite conversations that did not occur quite the way he describes them — if they took place at all. So we were a bit suspicious when he mentioned a phone conversation with Dave Burritt, chief executive of U.S. Steel.

Burritt did take part in a roundtable in March at the White House, and in May the president appeared to reference that meeting.

But then, on June 20, the conversation became a phone call. On June 26, Trump suggested the news was disclosed in a public announcement.

One would think this would be easy to clear up. But the White House did not respond to a query. Burritt also did not respond to an email from The Fact Checker asking him to confirm the conversation.

Meghan M. Cox, U.S. Steel’s spokeswoman, simply offered this response: “To answer your question, we post all of our major operational announcements to our website and report them on earnings calls. Our most recent one pertained to our Granite City ‘A’ blast furnace restart.”

Translation: The president is wrong. But apparently U.S. Steel is afraid to say that out loud.

Cox ignored our question about whether Burritt had had a phone conversation with Trump — and she ignored our follow-up query restating that question. So one can only assume the phone call did not happen.

Wall Street analysts who follow the company are also scratching their heads. They knew of no such expansion.

But Charles Bradford of Bradford Research in New York suggested a possible explanation. He noted that an integrated plant such as one in Granite City is made of five or six parts. There’s a blast furnace, but there is also the production of pig iron, an intermediate product; the continuous caster, which creates large slabs; and the rolling mill, which flattens those slabs to a customer’s specifications.

Here’s an interesting U.S. Steel video that explains the process:

“Usually I would consider that it is one mill,” he said. But it’s possible that Trump misunderstood — or that Burritt pitched it as separate entities, he said. But the facilities already existed; they are not “new.”

Bradford added that U.S. Steel has been in discussions with a Japanese company to form a joint venture to produce high-strength steel, a new product. So that also might have been part of the discussion at the White House meeting.

That is, if such a conversation actually took place.

Bradford said the bigger problem is that the Granite Mills facility should have been closed 20 years ago. He said it is not competitive with the highly efficient steel mini-mills that have sprung up in the United States, making large integrated mills too costly to run — at least before Trump imposed tariffs.

The Pinocchio Test

This should be easy to clear up: Either the president of U.S. Steel tipped market-moving information to the president of the United States, or he did not. Interestingly, the securities markets have not reacted at all to the president’s disclosure; U.S. Steel’s stock fell the day after Trump made his comments about six new facilities, and it has continued to decline.

Perhaps that means the stock market puts a low premium on the president’s statements. Here at The Fact Checker, we award Four Pinocchios.

Four Pinocchios

Send us facts to check by filling out this form
Keep tabs on Trump’s promises with our Trump Promise Tracker
Sign up for The Fact Checker weekly newsletter

A Space Force: Some Points to Ponder 

An intrinsic link between dominance in outer space and the enforcement of security therein is the promotion of peace.  Any interference with a space program of a nation, which would be inextricably linked to peaceful uses of outer space, would tantamount to an act of terrorism performed against international peace.

by Dr. Ruwantissa Abeyratne-
After one look at this planet any visitor from outer space would say: “I want to see the manager” ~ William S. Burroughs
( June 27, 2018, Montreal, Sri Lanka Guardian) President Donald Trump recently announced that a new sixth arm of the United States Military called the Space Force be established, seemingly based on his idea, as reported by CNBC: “when it comes to defending America, it is not enough to merely have an American presence in space…we must have American dominance in space”.  Presently, affairs of outer space are under the purview of the United States Air Force which carries out and oversees outer space affairs for the country.  Through the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) which provides the Global Positioning system (GPS) the United States contributes to satellite communications which is a key driver of global economic activity as well as global communications worth billons of dollars.
The United States extended the capability and application of GPS to further develop the role of military space systems, by integrating them into virtually all aspects of military operations which ranged from the provision of providing indirect strategic support to military forces to enabling the application of military force in near-real-time tactical operations through precision weapons guidance. A notable development in this regard was the introduction of radar satellites offered the potential to detect opposition forces on the ground in all-weather at all times
World renowned astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson – author of Astrophysics for People in a Hurry –  when interviewed by Fareed Zakaria on CNN’s Global Public Square (GPS) last Sunday said that the idea of a  Space Force as a separate military force in the United States is not in itself a weird idea, provided the Air Force which currently handles outer space affairs for the United States says that it cannot continue to handle outer space affairs for the country.  Zakaria seemingly hinted that this measure by the U.S. President could be a counter measure and response to emerging threats of dominance in outer space by China and Russia.
The United states has invested tremendously in outer space and has assets worth billions there. There is no question that the United States must have a visible presence in outer space. It is in this context that one should read into the word “dominance” used by President Trump the link to defence of the country. The operative question is whether The United States can enforce dominance in outer space which, as the President said, would be calculated to defend the United States.  One does not dispute that the United States has the capability to do so. However, there are some fundamental principles that might bring to bear the relevance of principles at international law and in particular, space law.
An intrinsic link between dominance in outer space and the enforcement of security therein is the promotion of peace.  Any interference with a space program of a nation, which would be inextricably linked to peaceful uses of outer space, would tantamount to an act of terrorism performed against international peace. The maintenance of international peace and security is an important objective of the United Nations, which recognizes one of its purposes as being inter alia :to maintain international peace and security, and to that end: take effective collective measures for the prevention and removal of threats to the peace, and for the suppression of acts of aggression or other breaches of peace, and to bring about by peaceful means, and in conformity with the principles of justice and international law, adjustment or settlement of international disputes or situations which might lead to a breach of the peace.It is clear that the United Nations has recognized the application of the principles of international law as an integral part of maintaining international peace and security and avoiding situations which may lead to a breach of the peace.
Any kind of dominance in outer space would have to be exercised in accordance with the principles of international law.  United Nations General Assembly Resolution 41/65 provides that remote sensing activities must be conducted in accordance with international law, including the Charter of the United Nations, the Treaty on Principles Governing the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of Outer Space, including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies, and the relevant instruments of the International Telecommunication Union.  The Resolution draws a link with the principles contained in article 1 of the Outer Space Treaty, including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies – which  was opened for signature in the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Soviet Union on 27 January 1967, and entered into force on 10 October 1967- and which, in particular provides that the exploration and use of outer space must  be carried out for the benefit and in the interests of all countries, irrespective of their degree of economic or scientific development, and stipulates the principle of freedom of exploration and use of outer space on the basis of equality.
These activities must be conducted based on respect for the principle of full and permanent sovereignty of all States and peoples over their own wealth and natural resources, with due regard to the rights and interests, in accordance with international law, of other States and entities under their jurisdiction. Such activities must l not be conducted in a manner detrimental to the legitimate rights and interests of the sensed State.
From a global perspective, the United Nations and the relevant agencies within the United Nations system are required to promote international cooperation, including technical assistance and coordination in the area of remote sensing. A State carrying out a program of remote sensing must inform the Secretary General of the United Nations.  It must, moreover, make available any other relevant information to the greatest extent feasible and practicable to any other State, particularly any developing country that is affected by the program, at its request.
Article IV of the Outer Space Treaty stipulates that States Parties to the Treaty undertake not to place in orbit around the Earth any objects carrying nuclear weapons or any other kinds of weapons of mass destruction, install such weapons on celestial bodies, or station such weapons in outer space in any other manner. The Moon and other celestial bodies are to be used by all States Parties to the Treaty exclusively for peaceful purposes. The establishment of military bases, installations and fortifications, the testing of any type of weapons and the conduct of military maneuvers on celestial bodies are forbidden. The use of military personnel for scientific research or for any other peaceful purposes shall not be prohibited. The use of any equipment or facility necessary for peaceful exploration of the Moon and other celestial bodies are not prohibited.
Article V of the treaty is important as it speaks of mutual assistance and resonates the compelling nature of peace and cooperation in outer space.  According to this provision, States Parties to the Treaty must regard astronauts as envoys of mankind in outer space and render to them all possible assistance in the event of accident, distress, or emergency landing on the territory of another State Party or on the high seas. When astronauts make such a landing, they must be safely and promptly returned to the State of registry of their space vehicle.
The Moon Treaty which entered into force in 1984 provides that the establishment of military bases, installations and fortifications, the testing of any type of weapons and the conduct of military manoeuvres on the moon are forbidden. However, the use of military personnel for scientific research or for any other peaceful purposes are not prohibited. The use of any equipment or facility necessary for peaceful exploration and use of the moon are also not prohibited.
The most fundamental distinction that must be remembered is the principle enunciated by The Space Security Index of 2010 which distinguished between militarization and weaponization of space: “An important distinction must be made between militarization and weaponization of space: while the former is a reality, thus far there is no documented evidence of the latter. Although the use of space assets for military applications such as reconnaissance, intelligence, and troop support has been ubiquitous for several years, space apparently has remained weapons-free. To maintain this state, the prevention of an arms race in outer space remains a priority for policymakers at various international forums, since it is assumed that once a state places weapons in space, others will follow suit”.
This distinction is key to dominance in outer space.
The author is former Senior Legal Officer of the International Civil Aviation Organization and the author of numerous books on aerospace law including Frontiers of Aerospace Law andSpace Security Law. He is currently Senior Associate, Air Law and Policy at Aviation Strategies International.

Why Gavin Williamson is blackmailing Theresa May with a £20bn threat

Defence secretary says he made PM - and he ‘can break her’

Matt Cardy - WPA Pool/Getty Images

Jun 25, 2018

Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson has threatened to bring down Theresa May’s government unless she promises to spend another £20bn on the British Armed Forces.
What is Williamson threatening?
The former chief whip, who played a pivotal role in the prime minister’s leadership campaign, has warned that unless extra money is made available for the Defence Department, up to 20 Tory MPs would vote down the next budget, effectively passing a motion of no confidence in May and her government.
According to The Mail on Sunday, Williamson is said to have boasted to one army officer: “I made her - and I can break her.” 
What has the reaction been?
The Mail on Sunday described the threat as “astonishing” and said a ”formidable array of political and military figures are lining up behind Gavin Williamson in his power struggle with No. 10”.
The former head of the British Army, General the Lord Dannatt, also told the newspaper that he feared the defence secretary could be forced to resign over the issue.
Why is Williamson blackmailing May?
According to the Daily Mirror, Williamson “faces a backlash over what is the latest of a series of Westminster leaks - which conveniently portray the defence secretary as a brave man standing up to his boss”. The Sun says other critics accuse him of “trying to whip up the row to boost his own chances of becoming next PM”.
The furore over defence spending comes after the prime minister pledged an extra £20bn for the NHS, partly to be funded by a so-called Brexit dividend. This would bring annual spending on the health service to £126bn, more than three times more than the Defence Department’s budget, which is expected to be about £40bn by the next election, due in 2022.
The Times has claimed that the handout “sparked a mutiny” within the Cabinet, with at least six senior cabinet members demanding more money for police, defence, housing and schools.
The Independent reports that “in a meeting with Ms May, Mr Williamson reportedly asked for a similar windfall for his own department and was turned down”.
A number of newspapers have said the increase to the NHS budget has boosted the Tory leadership prospects of Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt at the expense of rivals such as Williamson.
May made matters worse when she questioned whether the UK had to remain a ‘tier one’ military power - meaning it can deploy the full spectrum of nuclear, conventional and cyberforces.
Does the military need more money?
The Defence Department has faced repeated cuts over the past decade. Whitehall sources have warned that Britain is “at risk of losing its status as a permanent member of the UN Security Council because of the dwindling size and capability of its military,” says The Sunday Times.
With both France and Germany expected to boost defence spending over the coming years, the UK could lose its place as Europe’s biggest military spender, dealing a blow to the country’s global standing.
In a not-so-veiled threat this weekend, the chairman of the Commons Defence Select Committee, Julian Lewis, said: “There need be no political risk to the prime minister – if she does the right thing.”

Myanmar’s Brutal Military Is Convicting Its Own Soldiers of Atrocities

Generals of an army accused of genocide have started putting troops in the dock, and it’s not because they care about human rights.

An army-linked militiaman secures a bridge in Muse, Myanmar on May 12, 2018. (AFP/Getty Images)

No automatic alt text available.
BY -
JUNE 27, 2018, 9:59 PM

On a bright afternoon this January, a group of Kachin villagers in Myanmar’s mountainous north perched on plastic chairs at a courtroom inside a military compound. Standing a few feet away were six soldiers, who were convicted of kidnapping, torturing, and murdering three of the villagers’ relatives near a camp for displaced people in war-torn Kachin state months earlier. A panel of uniform-clad judges read closing statements and handed down the sentences: 10 years with hard labor for each man.

The Tatmadaw, as Myanmar’s military is known, has terrorized civilians in Kachin and elsewhere for decades, committing gang rapesmassacresmass expulsions, and torturewith total impunity, especially against the country’s many ethnic minorities. Its ruthless campaign against the Rohingya in western Rakhine state has displaced some 700,000 members of the Muslim minority since last August and cemented the military’s reputation as untouchable. Inside Myanmar, where the Rohingya are portrayed as terrorists and foreigners, the campaign has largely strengthened the position of the army, still the main powerbrokers even after the end of junta rule in 2011.

Yet there have been a handful of cases made public in recent years in which soldiers have been convicted of atrocities, including a massacre of Rohingya in Rakhine and killings of Shan villagers in the country’s east.

In each instance, the result has fallen well short of real justice: Lower-ranking personnel were scapegoated, sentences were considered too short, and the ultimate fate of the convicts was shrouded in mystery. And yet, that a military long-steeped in denialism is holding these trials at all is remarkable. For some analysts, the trials are a cynical sham to mollify critics when soldiers get caught red-handed. Others see them as a first step, inadequate on its own, in the fight for accountability — and possibly reflecting genuine shifts within the military.

“People felt there was more transparency than before,” said one observer who attended the sentencing in Kachin but asked not to be named. “But they didn’t think that real justice had been done. They had doubts about whether the soldiers would really be sent to prison or assumed they would be released early.”
***
The highest-profile conviction of Tatmadaw soldiers so far came after the massacre of 10 Rohingya men and boys in the village of Inn Din last year. Seven soldiers received 10 years with hard labor in April ­— but only after the murders were exposed by two Reuters reporters, Wa Lone and Kyaw Soe Oo, who as a result are facing up to 14 years in prison under the country’s Official Secrets Act.

Their exposé quoted, on the record and for the first time, Rakhine Buddhists admitting to burning houses and killing Rohingya. This explains why the authorities may have “felt they had to respond so as not to lose support or start to introduce doubts among the domestic constituency,” said Kate Cronin-Furman, a scholar who has researched sham accountability exercises for her upcoming book, Just Enough: The Politics of Accountability for Mass Atrocities. 

Myanmar’s generals have not suddenly begun to care about human rights. Rather, they recognize it can serve their interests to clamp down on some of the ugliest excesses that have made the Tatmadaw a pariah.

The military certainly wants greater legitimacy in some form. In 2011, the generals began partially ceding power to elected administrations to help achieve what they called a “discipline-flourishing democracy.” This meant allowing limited political reforms in order, among other things, to get Western sanctions lifted while maintaining the military’s grip on large swathes of the economy and key areas of political life, such as home affairs and justice.

As part of that plan, the Tatmadaw wants to position itself as a modern, respectable force playing a vital role in the transition.

 And as Myanmar has opened up, ending direct censorship of the media and allowing greater freedom of speech, the generals have become more sensitive to perceptions of it, both at home and abroad.
“They want to be considered as responsive, appropriate, civilized,” said John Blaxland, a former Australian defense attache to Myanmar and Thailand who now heads the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at Australian National University.

Yet the quest for legitimacy didn’t prevent the military from unleashing carnage in Rakhine state last August and responding to global censure with blanket denials. Firstly, legitimacy for the Tatmadaw is about more than just the perceptions of the United States and European countries. China, Russia, and other allies pledged their support to Myanmar throughout the crisis, while their “clearance operations” have also been popular inside Myanmar, where many view reports of atrocities against the Rohingya as exaggerated or fake. In the wake of attacks on border posts by Rohingya militants, the generals have cast themselves as defenders of national sovereignty against a foreign terrorist threat, helping to legitimize their role in the transition.

The Tatmadaw also may not have expected such a strong backlash from abroad. Less than a year before the August attacks, when soldiers carried out a similar scorched-earth operation in Rakhine — albeit on a smaller scale — its reputation hardly suffered at all. More than 65,000 Rohingya were forced to flee to Bangladesh as soldiers burned, raped, and killed innocents starting in October 2016. Yet the following month, Commander in Chief Min Aung Hlaing was given the red-carpet treatment in Italy, before returning to Europe in 2017 for a goodwill tour.

It is also possible that the Tatmadaw did expect a much stronger backlash than in 2016 but calculated it still wouldn’t matter that much. Last year’s attacks elicited a lot of noisy criticism, but the military has so far suffered few meaningful repercussions. The United States has canceled military assistance to units involved in the crackdown, and it has imposed sanctions against just one general, Maung Maung Soe, who oversaw the violence. The European Union and Canada’s decision this month to sanction seven military and police officials, not including Min Aung Hlaing, has been dismissed by some rights activists as “pathetic”.

“My sense is they’ve done this thinking they can get away with it, like they’ve gotten away with many other atrocities against minority groups,” Blaxland said.
***
Convicting soldiers helps the military to rebuff calls for accountability from abroad. When United Nations Security Council delegates told top generals in May that they wanted to probe the violence in Rakhine, Min Aung Hlaing responded that the army had looked into claims of abuses during previous bouts of violence and punished the perpetrators. “We have investigated enough already,” he said.

With calls for the Security Council to refer Myanmar to the International Criminal Court mounting, does the military hope punishing its own soldiers might stave off international justice? Sean Bain, a legal consultant at the International Commission of Jurists in Myanmar, thinks not. “For one thing, they have only prosecuted individuals for the crime of murder under national law,” he said. “The crime against humanity of murder has yet to be prosecuted.”

One common factor in all the recent convictions is that local civil society groups, lawyers, journalists, or activists gathered evidence that made it impossible for the military to plausibly deny the crimes.

After the murders of the three men in Kachin state, pro bono lawyers got in touch to advise the families to give statements, and civil society rapidly kicked into gear by forming a committee to hold the perpetrators accountable. They managed to extract an autopsy report from the authorities that detailed obvious signs of torture such as shattered skulls. Had the military decided not to prosecute the killers, “the case would have caused an outcry,” said David Baulk, a Myanmar-based researcher who helped monitor the case for Fortify Rights, an advocacy group.

Wa Lone’s reporting for Reuters also helped get seven soldiers convicted for another massacre in Mong Yaw village, Shan state, in 2016. David Mathieson, an independent analyst who at the time was a researcher with Human Rights Watch and traveled to Mong Yaw to investigate, said the military felt compelled to respond partly because the case went public so quickly, and then Reuters followed up.

“Word spread, and local activists and journalists seized on the case and publicized it almost immediately. This often doesn’t happen in extrajudicial killings and abuse cases, which occur in more remote areas where news takes time to filter out and verification is difficult,” he said. “Basically, they were caught red-handed with dozens of eyewitnesses.”

But again, it felt like a partial victory. The army only owned up to five of the seven killings and, as with those sentenced in Kachin in January, the whereabouts of the convicted soldiers is unknown. The Tatmadaw’s public display of justice, Mathieson added, made it “appear magnanimous and principled, twisting the killings to its advantage.”

Others are less cynical about the convictions. Min Zaw Oo, a former rebel soldier who later negotiated ceasefires between the Tatmadaw and rebel groups as director of the Myanmar Peace Centre, said that there do appear to be low-key efforts within the military to clamp down on certain abuses.

“We recently went to the northern part of Shan state [and] interviewed a lot of fighters in the field from the Tatmadaw,” said the former negotiator, who now runs the Myanmar Institute for Peace and Security, a think tank. “A lot of them say that, now, their hands are tied. So, what they could do in the villages is now very much restricted, so they have to be very careful.”

Since 2011, Min Zaw Oo noted, the military’s use of civilians as porters has become less excessive. It used to be a common tactic to round up large numbers of people from villages or prisons to carry supplies and walk ahead of troops into landmines and ambushes. Similarly, the military’s use of child soldiers has fallen since the reform process began. “There is a strong sentiment in the Tatmadaw which recognizes the legitimacy crisis of the Tatmadaw as an institution,” Min Zaw Oo said.

Yet the casual sadism of the campaign in Rakhine raises doubts about how far this process of self-examination can go. The difference may be that while other minorities are seen as troublesome and backward but essentially a part of the nation, the Rohingya have been systematically stripped of or denied their citizenship and dehumanized for decades. Even those who defend the military’s actions do so in the language of hatred, like the military commander who used what’s become a common refrain among apologists: that the army couldn’t have raped Rohingya women because they’re too ugly.

Even among other minorities, however, abuses are still rife — and the military’s efforts to check them seem more directed at PR than at a genuine end to impunity.

“A good faith effort at promoting accountability would start with trials for generals who are the architects of violent campaigns against civilians,” said Matt Bugher, who has researched abuses by the Tatmadaw and is now the head of the Asia program at the rights group Article 19.

The vast majority of military crimes, even those supported by plenty of evidence, remain unpunished. In January, the same month the six soldiers were convicted in Kachin state, two other civilians from the same displacement camp as the three murdered men were found slaughtered. This time, the authorities took a very different approach. Instead of arresting the suspects, the police tried to arrest a victim’s sister-in-law, forcing her to go into hiding.

“I think when the first murders happened, there was a lot of acrimony between the soldiers after the case went viral,” said the observer who attended the January sentencing. “But this time they are protecting and supporting each other.”