Peace for the World

Peace for the World
First democratic leader of Justice the Godfather of the Sri Lankan Tamil Struggle: Honourable Samuel James Veluppillai Chelvanayakam

Saturday, May 19, 2018

Who is managing SriLankan Airlines?



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by Rajeewa Jayaweera-

SriLankan Airlines (SLA) recently announced highlights of unaudited results for FY ending March 31, 2018. Key among them were: Annual Passenger Revenue of Rs 126.9 billion (USD 830.7 million), an unprecedented Rs 14.7 billion in Cargo Revenue and another first-timer, Group Revenue exceeding USD 1 billion. The announcement further stated that all three business divisions had exceeded revenue targets. The airline’s CEO Suren Ratwatte jubilantly declared, "This is the first instance of the airline achieving its annual revenue target since Emirates Airlines left as the managing partner ten years ago."

The airline has cumulative losses over USD 750 million resulting in substantial debt servicing payments each year. The balance sheet also contains a negative net worth of USD 400 million.

Performance of the carrier may be assessed from three different aspects - (i) Performance based on Air Transportation (core business or carriage of passengers, cargo, baggage, and mail. (ii) Performance as a company which includes core business besides other profit centers, i.e., ground handling, engineering, Aviation College, SriLankan Holidays, simulators and miscellaneous Income (iii) Performance as a group which includes catering, finance charges (debt servicing) impacts Group performance only.

A reliable source, on condition of anonymity stated, the unaudited operating deficit from Air Transportation during FY 2017/18 exceeded USD 120 million, up from USD 111 million in 2016/7. Net Loss to the Company before Dividends (from SriLankan Catering) amounted to nearly USD 55 million, up from USD 43 million during the previous year. Group Net Loss amounted to more than USD 85 million, up from USD 64 million in 2016/17 (USD 64 million excludes USD 98 million compensation costs of three A350 aircraft). Currency losses during the year exceeded Rs 1 billion.

The main reason for the airline to continue making losses is the operation of an expensive fleet of wide-bodied aircraft. Lease charges for seven such planes amount to around USD 1.1 million per month per aircraft. The airline supposedly requires aircraft with lease rentals not exceeding USD 500,000 per aircraft per month besides addressing a few other issues such as reduction in workforce to operate its current schedule profitably.

The Restructuring Plan prepared by CEO Ratwatte and his team and approved by directors require a fleet of wide-bodied aircraft due to major shareholder/GoSL’s insistence on long-haul routes such as Colombo to London. Neither the airline nor GoSL have considered a business model of a regional airline operated exclusively with narrow-bodied aircraft. The management and directors failed to produce such a Restructuring Plan and provide GoSL with different options for consideration. The lack of a proactive approach and sense of urgency is a serious failing.

Having advertised the post of CEO in May 2015 and earmarked a candidate for recruitment, a final decision was deferred by directors for several months due to parliamentary elections. They failed to act on the basis, the airline (any company) needs a CEO regardless of the outcome of elections.

The Yahapalana administration directorate appointed on February 12, 2015, comprised of Ajith Dias, Joseph Brito, Mahinda Haradasa, Chanaka de Silva, and Lt. Col. Sunil Peiris. Rakhita Jayawardena, Harindra Balapatabandi, and Nirj Deva Aditya were appointed subsequently. Jayawardena functioned as pro tem CEO and Peiris as Executive Director HR from March 2015 till the recruitment of Suren Ratwatte as CEO in October 2015. Former Emirates nominated CEO Peter Hill was hired as a Consultant to Board of Directors but resigned after two months. Whereas Peiris resigned in August 2017, remaining seven directors left at the request of the major shareholder/GoSL in March 2018.

Commencing shortly after their appointment, directors operated in an authoritarian environment and regularly found themselves gagged/overruled by the major shareholder/GoSL.

Following are a few examples which clearly illustrate the trying circumstances under which they were required to function.

Recruitment of Chief Commercial Officer (CCO)

The position of Chief Commercial Officer (COO) was advertised simultaneously with that of CEO in May 2015. Several directors had conducted initial interviews via Skype. However, subsequent discussions had been with the Chairman, and Director Haradasa without even the knowledge of pro tem CEO and Letter of Appointment (LoA) issued to the selected candidate before informing other directors on November 27, 2015. In a vote taken due to vehement objections by some directors, Chairman and two directors voted in favor of recruitment whereas four voted against (one director had left early). Main misgivings raised by dissenting directors had been duplication of costs as the company already had a person on its payroll suited for the job, but he preferred to remain overseas, the candidate who was a former employee of the airline was over the company retirement age of 60 years and had a track record of regularly changing jobs. CCEM directive 08/12/2015/05 dated December 08, 2015 overruled the decision by a majority of directors and directed recruitment of the candidate. The release of the LoA before Board’s decision is indicative; Board approval was considered a mere formality in some quarters.

Extension of CEO’s Probation period

As customary in most reputed companies, CEO Ratwatte’s LoA stipulated a probation period of six months which was due to end on April 14, 2016. He commenced duties on Oct. 15, 2015. Directors discussed the matter during their meeting in February 2016, and it was decided to carry out a confidential Performance Appraisal. A Performance Appraisal with requisite Key Result Areas was circulated to be completed by each director confidentially, collated by Auditors, discussed, and a final decision made at the next Board meeting. On March 24, 2016, instructions had been received from Minister of Public Enterprise Development to extend CEO’s probationary period by a further six months owing to the uncertainty in the company resulting in the discontinuation of the Performance Appraisal project. The Chairman alone had supported immediate confirmation of CEO to his post but had eventually agreed to communicate the majority decision by directors to extend probation period. On April 28, 2017, the Chairman informed, both Prime Minister and Minister of Public Enterprise Development had requested the confirmation of CEO to his post at the earliest. Director Deva Aditya too had confirmed a similar request by the Prime Minister. Left with no other alternative, Directors resolved to confirm CEO to his post.

Leasing of A330-200 x 3 and sub-leasing of A330-300 x 4 aircraft

On August 25, 2016, directors approved the short-term wet lease of one A330-300 to Pakistan International Airlines (PIA). Despite PIA’s financial standing being worse than that of SLA, the lease agreement prepared by management for Board approval did not contain a clause to charge interest accrued on delayed payments as confirmed by the CEO to directors on October 27, 2016. Neither did it include a requirement for PIA to furnish a standing order to their bank for settlement of lease charges on due dates. In a bizarre development, CEO confirmed to the directors the existence of a late payment penalty clause in the Agreement which was not implemented, when he met them on November 24, 2016. The discrepancy between his statements on October 27 and November 24 went wittingly or unwittingly unnoticed. PIA failed to settle lease charges on due dates and SLA had numerous difficulties in collecting dues.

The wet lease agreement was to be followed with the dry lease of three more A330-300 aircraft by PIA for six years commencing November 01, 2016, December 15, 2016, and February 01, 2017. The lease rental per aircraft per month was in the region of USD 1.1 million.

As the leasing out of three aircraft would have caused a shortage of aircraft to operate the carrier’s schedule, CEO requested and received approval to extend lease agreements of three 18-year-old A330-200 aircraft due to expire in January 2017. Directors, on August 25, 2016, approved extending lease agreements to "be signed only after the dry lease agreements of the 3 A330-300 aircraft are signed with PIA".

PIA, for various reasons, prevaricated over the long-term leasing of three aircraft. Besides, the plane obtained on a short-term wet lease returned after six months. Meanwhile, SLA ended up having three unwanted A330-200 aircraft for a further period of six years due to the renewal of lease agreements in September 2016.

When questioned by directors, management claimed, the caveat in Board approval though not incorporated in the lease agreement had been attached to the connected documents (Power of Attorney) authorizing the signing of the lease agreement. They claimed it was sufficient to exit from the extension in case PIA sub leases did not materialize. Several directors had challenged the validity of this statement. Most directors felt CEO had exceeded his authority in extending the three lease agreements besides being kept in the dark and the resulting implications from September till November 2016. As a result, directors, on January 25, 2017, took a vote of no confidence on the CEO. Five Directors voted as having lost confidence whereas two directors voted against the motion with one abstaining. During the same meeting, directors, by a vote of four in favor, three against and one abstaining voted to return the three aircraft to the lessor. The CEO was directed to communicate the Board’s decision to the lessor, attributing same to non-realization of PIA sub-lease agreement. Nevertheless, Cabinet Committee on Economic Management (CCEM) item no 22/03/2017/10 overruled decision by a majority of directors and granted approval for the lease of three A330-200 aircraft for six years.

These are but three of the numerous occasions, on which the major shareholder/GoSL has intervened and overruled Board decisions in the affairs of the airline.

Micro Management

Inability to delegate and micromanagement is a drawback often found in Sri Lanka. All tiers of administration/ management top down customarily involve themselves in matters not requiring their attention. GoSL in its capacity of major shareholder appoints a certain number of directors. Strictly speaking, from a company law perspective, directors should elect a Chairman from among themselves. In the case of SLA, GoSL appoints the Chairman. Having named its nominees as directors, GoSL contravenes Company Law by involving itself in the day to day affairs of the company, especially in matters such as recruitment. In the developed world, directors would be responsible for policy formulation and setting of direction whereas day to day administration/operations is the responsibility of the CEO and his team. The division and demarcation of power between Shareholders and Directors are governed in part by the Statute of law and partly by Articles of Association of the company. Shareholders may have their say during Annual General Meetings when they may communicate their views to directors and even remove directors if they so desire. The forum for shareholders, major or minor, to voice their concerns is the Annual General Meeting. Being the major shareholder and source of funding does not and should not permit GoSL to micromanage the airline.

That said, directors too are guilty of micromanagement. Involving themselves in operational matters such the airline’s Upgrade/Excess Baggage Waiver policy is a waste of valuable time. In a progressive airline, such functions are dealt with by the Commercial Division and CEO. Since the departure of Emirates management, non-Executive Chairmen have empowered themselves with authority to upgrade and waive excess baggage fees. It is a status symbol for the holders of the office. Notwithstanding the availability of a Board approved policy document for selection of General Sales Agents (GSA), each appointment/extension requires individual board approval, an absolute waste of time. In airlines such as Emirates, such matters are disposed of by the responsible department in the Commercial division.



Committee on matters of SriLankan Airlines

The Ministry of National Policies and Economic Affairs, on March 06, 2017 appointed a Committee of four ministers (Ministers for Development Strategies & International Trade, Special Assignments, Public Enterprise Development and Deputy Minister for PED) and one bureaucrat (Snr. Advisor, Ministry of NP&EA). They were directed to resolve issues when ‘SriLankan Airlines Board of Directors find difficulty to reach consensus on certain matters at Board Meetings.’ The committee’s decisions ‘would be final.’ ‘Difficulties to reach a consensus’ in real terms translate to decisions by a majority vote of directors running contrary to requirements of GoSL. Board meetings were also prohibited other than the regular monthly meeting vide MNPEA/PLN/FA/MM/2017 dated March 14 and 17, 2017.

Such situations bring to the fore the vexed question of liability for decisions made by Committee members overruling board decisions as well as decisions made and passed down to directors for implementation. In the event of adverse findings during an investigation or Commission of Inquiry at a future date, would it be Committee officials or directors who will be held accountable for committee decisions? If not all, at least some of the outgoing directors registering their dissent in some instances when they felt GoSL interventions was not in the best interest of the company is commendable.

There is no record of directors holding office during the Rajapaksa administration resisting incorrect directives, despite their high standing in the corporate world.

Public-Private Partnership a non-starter

The major shareholder’s stubborn insistence in retaining 51% equity has been the primary stumbling block in finding a strategic partner. Investors and airlines are yet to forget the outcome of 40% equity acquired by Emirates in 1998 and their inglorious departure in 2008. In preparation to rolling out the PPP project, GoSL appointed National Savings Bank (NSB) as Lead Manager. NSB went on to select KPMG and BNP Aviation (a subsidiary of French bank BNP Paribas) as consultants. The illogical appointments of NSB, an institution with no experience in restructuring companies rather than one of the two state-owned commercial banks besides the selection of KPMG and BNP Aviation without a selection process dumbfounded the financial community in the country. Having progressed through the process of calling for Expression of Interest (EoI) and shortlisting three interested applicants, USA based Texas Pacific Group (TPG) was selected for further negotiations. TPG required a Due Diligence to be carried out and appointed Accenture Consulting of Ireland for the purpose. Their main requirements were: (i) Noninterference from GoSL. (ii) The airline must enjoy Ground Handling monopoly. (iii) Fuel at market price. (iv) GoSL to take over past debts. (v) Management control for five years. TPG abandoned the exercise even before completion of Due Diligence and informed GoSL of their withdrawal due to the availability of better investment opportunities in India. 

Ministers Kabir Hashim, Malik Samarawickrama, and Sarath Amunugama, tasked with speaking to other parties including Emirates and Qatar Airways of entering a PPP arrangement with SLA also came to naught as did President Sirisena’s appeal to the Ruler of Qatar during his state visit to Doha.

Restructuring Plan

In late 2017, GoSL appointed two committees comprising of a Ministerial Committee headed by the Prime Minister and Officials Committee chaired by Secretary to Treasury to make out and finalize a restructuring plan for the airline.

The Officials Committee was required to prepare a plan by early 2018 to be presented to the Ministerial committee for approvals and implementation in the first quarter. The Officials Committee selected Nyras Aviation Consulting to formulate the plan. GoSL appointed a new Board of Management termed ‘Restructuring Board’ in the first week of April 2018. In another development, Mr Johann Wijesinghe, a former manager of SriLankan Airlines and currently Managing Director of Leisure & Aviation at the Hayley’s Group has been appointed to the Board this week. This is the first time such an appointment has been made.

It is reliably understood Nyras have completed their task and collected the agreed fee in full. However, the prepared plan is yet to be ratified by both the airline and GoSL. Meanwhile, the COO who was over 60 years of age has relinquished duties and rumors are afloat the CEO is considering giving up his position. There have been news articles of Peter Hill, the former CEO during the Emirates period having discussions with the present board about reappointment. A former CEO from an Airline in the Pacific is also making a pitch for the position.

There is much angst among staff as there does not seem to be any definite direction or strategic plan to move forward. Can the airline survive under these circumstances?

With all this uncertainty the carrier continues to operate. How long will the cash last before the airline has to go in for another handout from the government or declare bankruptcy?

Even though committees are in place and consultants hired towards the restructuring of the airline, there seems to be no urgency to get on with the task at hand. Who is responsible for this apathy and why are those responsible not giving priority to making things work?

Lessons from other airlines

It would be of interest for readers to know that 86-year-old Air India, with an accumulated debt of around USD 8 billion has been up for sale. The Indian government has offered to sell a 76% stake to a local or foreign entity. An international airline may also buy a stake up to 49%. Nevertheless, the Indian government was forced to extend its deadline till May 31 due to there being no takers.

Unlike South Asian nations still obsessed with outdated notions of ‘national carrier’ and ‘flag carrier,’ western countries have privatized their airlines. The single largest shareholder of International Airlines Group, owning company of British Airways is Qatar Airways with 20.1% equity. Air France acquired KLM Royal Dutch Airlines. The French government holds only 14% of the Air France-KLM group. Its CEO resigned last week rather than give in to labor unions demanding higher wages from the loss-making company while the government declined to get involved. On the other hand, directors of SLA in 2016 gave into staff demands and granted pay increases across the board as a few of the ten unions refused to agree to a wage freeze. The Company reported a loss of LKR 28.9 billion in the year ending March 31, 2017.

On the other hand, despite challenges arising from withdrawing some flights to the USA, Emirates Group has just posted a profit for the 30th consecutive year of USD 1.1 billion for the FY ending March 31, 2018, up 67% from previous year. The group has declared a dividend of USD 545 million to its major shareholder. The carrier has achieved a commendable 4% growth in passenger traffic beside a 4% reduction in workforce. Emirates took to the skies in 1985, six years after SLA with a startup handout of USD 10 million from the Ruler, a leased Boeing 737 and an Airbus A300. Its fleet today consists of 254 aircraft operating to 141 destinations with a further 220 in their order books. The Initial handout of USD 10 million from the Ruler of Dubai was returned, and the airline receives no government subsidies. Dubai, unlike other emirates of UAE, has limited oil reserves and has turned from net exporter to a net importer. The airline’s success story is based on being managed by aviation professionals and operated with well trained, competent and dedicated staff. The major shareholder, state-owned Investment Corporation of Dubai, plays no role in the management of the company.

Conclusion

The Presidential Commission of Inquiry has its work cut out. It has been mandated to inquire into allegations of large-scale frauds and malpractices in SriLankan Airlines, SriLankan Catering Ltd, and Mihin Lanka (Pvt) Ltd, during the period of January 01, 2006 to January 31, 2018. Terms of reference include investigation of both financial and administrative mismanagement of the airline. The unraveling of the basis and those responsible for the purchase of six Airbus A330-300 and eight A350-900 aircraft is an absolute necessity. That said mismanagement of the airline by GoSL and directors during administrations of both 2008/15 as well as 2015/18 require thorough investigation. Those responsible must be named and held accountable.

The lack of appetite among investors to invest in government-owned loss-making national carriers, essentially white elephants, is obvious. In 2016 a Deputy Minister stated the future of SriLankan Airlines must be a commercial or political decision. After 70 years of independence and failures of Air Ceylon, Air Lanka, and SriLankan Airlines, it is a foregone conclusion that the major shareholder/GoSL is incapable of operating a commercially viable airline. In the absence of a strategic partner, the choice is between winding up the airline or continue as a political airline at the expense of many for the benefit of a few.

Disaster Response Units of Red Cross on standby to assist in case weather worsens



logoSaturday, 19 May 2018

The Sri Lanka Red Cross Society and its Disaster Response Units located in every branch of the country (each in every district) has been put on high alert as the inter-monsoonal rainy season sets above the country. As of now rains calculated to be over 100mm can be experienced in southern and eastern parts of the country, with thundershowers being expected in other parts.

Rainfall in Sri Lanka has multiple origins. Monsoonal, conventional and depressional rain accounts for a major share of the annual rainfall. The mean annual rainfall varies from under 900mm in the driest parts (south-eastern and north-western) to over 5,000mm in the wettest parts (western slopes of the central highlands).

Last year (2017) alone rains during the monsoonal period’s incessant rains across Sri Lanka affected over half a million people in seven districts. Most affected was the Ratnapura District where over 20,000 people faced flash floods. In Galle, Neluwa, Tawalama, Niyagama and Baddegama areas were flooded as well.

Recently a meeting was called by Sri Lanka Red Cross President Jagath Abeysinghe, who briefed the Disaster Response Units of the society to be on alert in order to respond to any adverse situation that could arise due to the inclement weather.

“Our volunteers are currently being alerted to be on standby to assist any vulnerable communities all across the island,” said President Abeysinghe. “One of the key strengths of our response has always been that most of our volunteers are from the communities itself, so they are already there if anything goes wrong to help and assist.”

Warehouses located at every branch deemed to be vulnerable towards floods have been stockpiled with supplies, while necessary funds have also been allocated to the branches by the National Headquarters.

One key feature of this year’s flood and disaster response will be the utilization of modern technology to track and assist affected communities. The Colombo Branch of the Sri Lanka Red Cross will be utilising drones to map out and assess disaster-prone areas which will allow first responders to reach affected communities much faster.

Central Governing Board Member and Secretary of the Colombo Branch Dr. Amila Kankanamge said: “This is something new we are trying in the face of these intense disasters that continue to gain strength each year. We cannot be looking at these future disasters from the same angle we used to. The dynamics are changing and the response should too. That’s why we are opting to use modern technology in order to assist the most vulnerable people in our district.”

Meanwhile, the Meteorological Department of Sri Lanka forecasts more rains during the coming weeks.

Three more Palestinians die from wounds suffered in Gaza protests


Deaths bring to 62 total number of Palestinians killed by Israeli gunfire on Monday

Relatives on Saturday mourn Palestinian Moein Al-Saai, who died of wounds sustained protesting (AFP)

AFP-Saturday 19 May 2018
Three Palestinians have died from their wounds days after being shot by Israeli troops during protests in the Gaza Strip, the territory's health ministry said on Saturday.
Their deaths bring to 62 the total number of Palestinians killed by Israeli gunfire on Monday, when thousands of Palestinians protested as the US officially moved its embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
The three men were 20-year-old Mohammed Mazen Alyan, 58-year-old Moein Abdel-Hamid Al-Saai, and 21-year-old Ahmed Samara, the Hamas-run ministry said in a statement.   
The ministry said Alyan was wounded east of the Al-Bureij refugee camp, while other medical sources reported Al-Saai was wounded to the east of Gaza City. Samara was wounded east of Jabalia, in the north of the enclave.
Since 30 March, Palestinians have been marching to demand the right to return to their homes in territory seized by Israel in the 1948 war marking its creation. 
A total of 119 Palestinians have since been killed by Israeli gunfire on the border between the Gaza Strip and Israel, according to authorities in Gaza, which is run by the Islamist movement Hamas.
Israel says it has done everything it can to limit civilian casualties and has used lived ammunition only as a last resort. 
The Israeli army insists its actions are necessary to defend the border and prevent mass infiltrations. 
It accuses Hamas of using the demonstrations to approach and damage the border fence, including laying explosive devices and attacking soldiers.

At 70, Israel is a bellicose regional giant

A mural in Gaza reads: “We will return.”
 Ali JadallahAPA images
Ghada Karmi-17 May 2018
Between 30 March and 11 May Israeli forces shot dead more than 40 unarmed Palestinians and wounded over 2,000 during the Great March of Return series of protests in Gaza. On 14 May alone, in protests coinciding with the opening of the US embassy in Jerusalem, Israeli soldiers killed a further 58 Palestinians and wounded nearly 2,800.
Palestinians have not been the only target. On 12 April, a senior Israeli official, housing minister Yoav Galant, again called publicly for Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad to be assassinated, a call he first made last year. On 10 May, Israel attacked what it claimed were Iranian missile launchers inside Syria, a sovereign state, in the latest of more than 100 such attacks on targets in Syria over the past few years.
Such words and deeds – enacted and expressed with impunity, unhindered by international sanction or even rebuke – represent the swaggering self-confidence of a state that fears no law or retribution.
Israel today has one of the world’s strongest militaries, some of the globe’s most advanced drone technology and is among the world’s top exporters of weapons. It enjoys the support of all Western states, especially the US, and has made significant political inroads into Africa, India, and to a certain extent, China. Its military, economic and political power has never been so great.
No one imagined in 1948 that the state created on the homeland of another people and at their expense – an ethnic cleansing justified as a moral act to salve the world’s conscience for crimes committed against the Jewish people – would grow into this terrifying and bellicose regional giant.

A trauma still unappreciated

Certainly, no such thought was in our minds as we fled our homes during the Nakba of 1948. Mine was an ordinary family with ordinary lives until we found ourselves one day catapulted into a nightmare with no end. As children, we were three siblings, who did not understand why we had to leave all that was familiar and made up the life we knew – our house, our school, our family dog.
My memories of that time, fragmented as they are, are all of fear and anxiety, reflecting the feelings of my parents. Like all Palestinians at the time, we believed that we would soon return, when “things settled down.” The idea that we were losing everything we possessed to make way for a people alien to us so they could find refuge in the homes we had vacated was preposterous and unthinkable.
We fled to Damascus first and then to London. The view my parents clung to was that our exile was temporary and we would soon be back. But as the years passed the hope faded and then turned into an ideal we aspired to but feared would never be realized.
I used sometimes to wonder what the Jewish immigrants who were settled in our house in Jerusalem did with our belongings. Did they throw them away or keep them? And did they feel anything about the family whose place they had so obviously taken? Hundreds of thousands of other Palestinians like us must have had the same thought.
In the first years after the Nakba, Palestinians did nothing but struggle to survive. It was a trauma of a severity still unappreciated to this day, a time of sadness and loss. We were defeated and friendless until the rise of the Palestine Liberation Organization and the resurrection of the Palestinian national movement.
There then followed a heady period of hope and self-assertion. It reached its zenith in the late 1970s, but Israel’s invasion of Beirut in 1982 led to a decline in the Palestine Liberation Organization’s fortunes, and the Oslo accords of 1993 compounded that decline. The last 20 years of Palestinian history have been punctuated by Palestinian uprisings and brutal Israeli repression, while Israel’s colonization has continued relentlessly. The Palestinians have been unable to stop it, their leadership divided and weak.

An unstoppable wave

Today the Palestinians, who were a homogeneous society when I was born, are fragmented: nearly 5 million live under Israeli occupation in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza; some 1.5 million are second-class citizens in Israel; there are over 3 million refugees in Arab countries registered with the UN agency for Palestine refugees, UNRWA, and an unknown number of exiles further afield. Meanwhile, Israel, to us an illegitimate usurper and standing affront to all that was decent, has only grown in strength and international acceptance. Its defeat, economically prosperous as it is and basking in American adulation, seems far away.
Maintaining an optimistic outlook in the face of Israel’s blanket impunity is a difficult challenge. A disinterested observer of this scene in 2018 might well conclude that the Palestine cause is hopeless.
But that would be wrong.
While Israel has been consolidating its power, the Palestinians, in their different locations, have been increasingly asserting their existence and right to resist. It is as if they have awoken from a long torpor.
The last decade has seen an extraordinary revival of national consciousness. Each locality where Palestinians live has developed its own form of resistance activity, whether inside Palestine or out. The boycott, divestment and sanctions movement is but one of these. A ferment of creativity in Palestinian art, literature and culture has taken hold, and political activism has assumed new forms.
This wave, which is now unstoppable, draws on the young, a generation of fresh, committed supporters of the cause of their parents and grandparents. Seeing this in action has been the most uplifting experience of my life. It has infused new energy into a cause that may have faltered from time to time, but never died.
Ghada Karmi is a Palestinian physician, academic and writer. Her latest book is entitled Return: A Palestinian Memoir.

Secret FBI source for Russia investigation met with three Trump advisers during campaign

Carter Page, a former foreign-policy adviser to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, had numerous encounters with an FBI informant in 2016. (Pavel Golovkin/AP)

  May 18 at 9:39 PM

In mid-July 2016, a retired American professor approached an adviser to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign at a symposium about the White House race held at a British university.

The professor took the opportunity to strike up a conversation with Carter Page, whom Trump had named a few months earlier as a foreign policy adviser.

But the professor was more than an academic interested in American politics — he was a longtime U.S. intelligence source. And, at some point in 2016, he began working as a secret informant for the FBI as it investigated Russia’s interference in the campaign, according to people familiar with his activities.

The role played by the source is now at the center of a battle that has pitted President Trump against his own Justice Department and fueled the president’s attacks on the special counsel’s investigation. In a Thursday tweet, he called the probe “a disgusting, illegal and unwarranted Witch Hunt.”

In recent days, Trump and his allies have escalated their claims that the FBI source improperly spied on the campaign.

“Reports are there was indeed at least one FBI representative implanted, for political purposes, into my campaign for president,” he tweeted Friday. “It took place very early on, and long before the phony Russia Hoax became a ‘hot’ Fake News story. If true — all time biggest political scandal!”


It's been a year since special counsel Robert Mueller was appointed to investigate the Trump campaign's ties to Russia - and since Trump's barbs started. 
There is no evidence to suggest someone was planted with the campaign. The source in question engaged in a months-long pattern of seeking out and meeting three different Trump campaign officials.

The Washington Post — after speaking with people familiar with his role — has confirmed the identity of the FBI source who assisted the investigation, but is not reporting his name following warnings from U.S. intelligence officials that exposing him could endanger him or his contacts.

The source declined multiple requests for comment. An FBI spokeswoman declined to comment.
Page was one of three Trump advisers whom the FBI informant contacted in the summer and fall of 2016 for brief talks and meetings that largely centered on foreign policy, according to people familiar with the encounters.

“There has been some speculation that he might have tried to reel me in,” Page, who had numerous encounters with the informant, told The Post in an interview. “At the time, I never had any such impression.”

In late summer, the professor met with Trump campaign co-chairman Sam Clovis for coffee in Northern Virginia, offering to provide foreign-policy expertise to the Trump effort. In September, he reached out to George Papadopoulos, an unpaid foreign-policy adviser for the campaign, inviting him to London to work on a research paper.

Many questions about the informant’s role in the Russia investigation remain unanswered. It is unclear how he first became involved in the case, the extent of the information he provided and the actions he took to obtain intelligence for the FBI. It is also unknown whether his July 2016 interaction with Page was brokered by the FBI or another intelligence agency.

The FBI commonly uses sources and informants to gather evidence and its regulations allow for use of informants even before a formal investigation has been opened. In many law enforcement investigations, the use of sources and informants precedes more invasive techniques such as electronic surveillance.

Earlier this month, House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes (R-Calif.) issued a subpoena to the Justice Department for all documents related to the FBI informant. Justice Department officials have declined to provide the information, warning that exposing him could have severe consequences.

In a May 2 meeting, senior FBI and national intelligence officials warned the White House that information being sought by Nunes risked the source’s safety and that of his sources, and could damage U.S. relationships with its intelligence partners.

The stakes are so high that the FBI has been working over the past two weeks to mitigate the potential damage if the source’s identity were revealed, according to several people familiar with the matter. The bureau took steps to protect other live investigations that he has worked on and sought to lessen any danger to associates if his identity became known, said these people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive intelligence operations.

For years, the professor has provided information to the FBI and the CIA, according to people familiar with the matter. He aided the Russia investigation both before and after special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s appointment in May 2017, according to people with knowledge of his activities.

Exactly when the professor began working on the case is unknown.

The FBI formally opened its counterintelligence investigation into Russia’s efforts to influence the 2016 campaign on July 31, 2016, spurred by a report from Australian officials that Papadopoulos boasted to an Australian diplomat of knowing that Russia had damaging material about Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

The professor’s interactions with Trump advisers began a few weeks before the opening of the investigation, when Page met the professor at the British symposium.

Page recalled his conversation with the professor as pleasant, if not particularly memorable. It was the first interaction they ever had, he said.

The conference was held days after Page had traveled to Russia, where he had delivered a speech at Moscow’s New Economic School that publicly criticized U.S. foreign policy.

Page had been on the FBI’s radar since at least 2013, when the FBI caught two accused Russian spies on a wiretap discussing their attempts to recruit him. Later in 2016, Page became a surveillance target of the FBI, which suspected him of acting on behalf of the Russian government — an assertion he denies. Page has accused the government of abusing its authority by unfairly targeting him.
Page and the FBI informant stayed in touch after the conference, meeting several times in the Washington area, Page said. Page said he did not recall exactly what the two men discussed.

“You are asking me about conversations I had almost two years ago,” he said. “We had extensive discussions. We talked about a bunch of different foreign-policy-related topics. For me to try and remember every nuance of every conversation is impossible.”

In late August 2016, the professor reached out to Clovis, asking if they could meet somewhere in the Washington area, according to Clovis’s attorney, Victoria Toensing.

“He said he wanted to be helpful to the campaign” and lend the Trump team his foreign-policy experience, Toensing said.

Clovis, an Iowa political figure and former Air Force officer, met the source and chatted briefly with him over coffee, on either Aug. 31 or Sept. 1, at a hotel cafe in Crystal City, she said. Most of the discussion involved him asking Clovis his views on China.

“It was two academics discussing China,” Toensing said. “Russia never came up.”

The professor asked Clovis if they could meet again, but Clovis was too busy with the campaign. After the election, the professor sent him a note of congratulations, Toensing said.

Clovis did not view the interactions as suspicious at the time, Toensing said, but now is unsettled that the professor never mentioned his contacts with other Trump aides.

Days later, on Sept. 2, 2016, the professor reached out to a third Trump aide, emailing Papadopoulos.
People familiar with his outreach to Papadopoulos said it was done as part of the FBI’s investigation. The young foreign-policy adviser had been on the radar of the FBI since the summer, and inside the campaign had been pushingTrump and his aides to meet with Russian officials.

“Please pardon my sudden intrusion just before the Labor Day weekend,” the professor wrote to Papadopoulos in a message described to The Post.

He said he was leading a project examining relations between Turkey and the European Union. He offered to pay Papadopoulos $3,000 to write a paper about the oil fields off the coast of Turkey, Israel and Cyprus, “a topic on which you are a recognized expert.”

It is a long-standing practice of intelligence operatives to try to develop a source by first offering the target money for innocuous research or writing.

The professor invited Papadopoulos to come to London later that month to discuss the paper, offering to pay the costs of his travel. “I understand that this is rather sudden but thought given your expertise, it might be of interest to you,” he wrote.

Papadopoulos accepted. While in London, he met for drinks with a woman who identified herself as the professor’s assistant, before meeting on Sept. 15 with the professor at the Traveler’s Club, a 200-year-old private club that is a favorite of foreign diplomats stationed in London, according to the emails described to The Post.

After Papadopoulos returned to the United States and sent his research document, the professor responded: “Enjoyed your paper. Just what we wanted. $3,000 wired to your account. Pls confirm receipt.”

Alice Crites, Shane Harris, Rosalind S. Helderman, Ellen Nakashima and Matt Zapotosky contributed to this report.

Europe reassures Iran of commitment to nuclear deal without U.S


FILE PHOTO: Head of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization Ali Akbar Salehi attends the lecture "Iran after the agreement: Hopes & Concerns" in Vienna, Austria, September 28, 2016. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File Photo

Alissa de Carbonnel-MAY 19, 2018

TEHRAN (Reuters) - The European Union’s energy chief sought to reassure Iran on Saturday that the bloc remained committed to salvaging a nuclear deal with Tehran despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to exit the accord and reimpose sanctions.

Miguel Arias Canete delivered the message on a visit to Tehran and also said the 28-nation EU, once the biggest importer of Iranian oil, hoped to strengthen trade with Iran.

“We have sent a message to our Iranian friends that as long as they are sticking to the (nuclear) agreement the Europeans will... fulfill their commitment. And they said the same thing on the other side,” Arias Canete, European Commissioner for energy and climate, told reporters after talks with Iran’s nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi.

Salehi said it would be disastrous if EU efforts fail to preserve the 2015 deal, in which Tehran agreed to curb its nuclear work in return for the lifting of most Western sanctions. “The ball is in their (EU leaders) court,” Salehi said. “We hope their efforts materialize.”

Since Trump’s announcement of the U.S. exit on May 8, EU leaders have pledged to try to keep Iran’s oil trade and investment flowing but admitted that will not be easy to do so.

Britain, France and Germany back the deal as the best way of stopping Tehran getting nuclear weapons but have called on Iran to limit its regional influence and curb the missile program.

“The EU’s adopted mechanisms ... should be enforced by August 8, when U.S. sanctions begin to take effect,” Iranian TV quoted Behrouz Kamalvandi, spokesman for Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization, as saying.

A collapse of the accord could tip the balance of power in Iran’s faction-ridden political establishment in favor of President Hassan Rouhani’s hardline rivals, who have fiercely criticized the president’s failure to deliver greater economic prosperity.

“ALL KINDS OF POSSIBILITIES”

Salehi said Iran had several options, including resuming its 20 percent uranium enrichment, if the European countries failed to keep the pact alive. He said the EU had only a few weeks to deliver on their promises.

“If the other side keeps itself committed to its promises we also will. ...We hope the situation will not arise to the point that we will have to go back to the worst option,” Salehi told reporters in English.
“There are all kind of possibilities, we can ... start the 20 percent enrichment.”

Under the 2015 deal, Iran’s level of enrichment must remain at around 3.6 percent. Iran stopped producing 20 percent enriched uranium and gave up the majority of its stockpile as part of the agreement.

Uranium refined to 20 percent fissile purity is well beyond the 5 percent normally required to fuel civilian nuclear power plants, although still well short of the highly enriched, or 80 to 90 percent, purity needed for a nuclear bomb.

In their diplomacy with Tehran, EU sources say Iranian government officials have warned they are under pressure from those who say Iran has traded away its nuclear sovereignty without reaping any economic benefits.

Iran has struggled to cash in on the accord, partly because of remaining unilateral U.S. sanctions that have deterred major Western investors from doing business with Tehran.

Rouhani has tried to assure ordinary Iranians, frustrated by high unemployment and stagnant living standards, that Trump’s decision would have no impact on Iran’s oil-reliant economy.

“Unfortunately because of the negative interferences of the U.S., we were not able to reap the fruits of the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Actions) we expected,” Salehi said.

“Public opinion is not as supportive as it was before and if the other side does not deliver... we will keep losing the support of our people for the JCPOA.”
 
Iran’s clerical rulers fear a revival of January’s anti-government protests that underlined the establishment’s vulnerability to popular anger fueled by economic hardship.

Time for Europe to use the stick against Trump


2018-05-19
Don’t cry for me, Europe. The time for diminishing Europe’s self-esteem is over. It’s time for toughness and retaliation. Even a personal intervention by his favourite European head of State, Emmanuel Macron, President of France, failed to move President Donald Trump on the gravest of all policies- his decision that the Iran nuclear deal, meant to reduce its nuclear prowess, will be scrapped by the US in favour of a policy of confrontation.   

Many observers, in Europe, the Middle East, Russia and China- all signatories to the historic agreement of 2015 -- are worried stiff that this will lead to war between Iran and Israel, in which Trump will feel moved to intercede if Israel is being badly hurt.   
As for the future, Trumpism looks bleak. He jokes about wanting to rule for life and has threatened to find a way to shut up a good part of the press and to send Hillary Clinton to jail. His ideology seems to be nothing more than whatever Barack Obama was for he’s against.

Such a war will not only cause immense damage to Iran it will, unlike when in 1973 Israel fought the combined Arab armies to a standstill well away from its borders, inflict an enormous amount of damage inside Israel. Despite the so-called iron-dome that protects Israel against rockets, enough will get through to cause immense loss of life.   

Europe doesn’t want to live cheek by jowl with that kind of inflammable neighbourhood. It doesn’t want to see more chaos, as after the US military intervention in Iraq which helped trigger the civil war in Syria and gave birth to ISIS.   

The long-established unity of purpose and liberal, democratic, ideology is being incinerated by the day. Putting America first has meant elbowing aside everyone else on the planet, often in the most unapologetic way. Even the British who since 1941 have usually gone along- the Suez crisis and the Vietnam war excepted- with whatever Washington has decided have got to the stage when they feel they have had enough. The British pro-American consensus is being eroded. Prime Minister Theresa May has been personally insulted by Trump and Britain is 100% committed to the Iranian deal.   

As for the future, Trumpism looks bleak. He jokes about wanting to rule for life and has threatened to find a way to shut up a good part of the press and to send Hillary Clinton to jail. His ideology seems to be nothing more than whatever Barack Obama was for he’s against. He’s often a racist. Let’s not even talk about his past subterranean links to Moscow or his sexual liaison with a porn star. Having done these things before he will find a more subtle or more secretive way of doing them again. Worst of all, he plays on the cruder emotions of the less-educated part of the electorate, appealing to their lower values while Obama played to their best. (“When they go low we go high”, as Michelle Obama once said). They ended up voting against their own economic interest. 
This is how Trump goes and will go. There is nothing on the horizon to suggest better times in US realpolitik. An agreement with North Korea on nuclear disarmament is impossible now he has demonstrated any deal can be torn up on a whim.   

Trump is a twenty-first century “Hitler type”. Hitler came to power by a democratic vote. Hitler mesmerized the German people. Hitler then bribed them with economic recovery: autobahns, longer holidays, kindergartens, raised pensions and socialized health services. By Hitler’s standard Trump is a higher achiever- he wins his base over not by help for the lower working and middle class but by hip hip hooray nationalism, smashing it to peoples abroad. Hitler re-armed and became threatening abroad much more slowly than Trump has.   

Europe must stop being shy. It should look at itself and realize it is a super power and a finer one than the US. It may not be militarily in the same class as the US, but that is a good thing. In its schools, access to the best of the universities for all, free or cheap health services, honesty of elections, design of its parliaments and power structures it is far ahead. 

The quality of the majority of its newspapers, radio and television is much higher. Crime and murders are much less. Its arts are more developed- in classical music, ballet, art, architecture, literature, film, (Hollywood blockbusters aside), theatre, museums, and art galleries. Just count the number of opera houses, symphony orchestras, theatres and publishers across the continent. And don’t forget the Beatles.   
This is without including Russia which, in the round, is arguably the most cultured country in the world.  
Of course, the US has a lot of these but counted per head of population it is far behind.   Perhaps the carrot of a better society and way of doing things will never be attractive to Trump. The time has come for Europe to be tough, to stand up for its interests and give Trump the stick. How to do this is what Europe now has to work out.   

For 17 years the writer had been a foreign affairs columnist and commentator for the International Herald Tribune/ New York Times