Peace for the World

Peace for the World
First democratic leader of Justice the Godfather of the Sri Lankan Tamil Struggle: Honourable Samuel James Veluppillai Chelvanayakam

Thursday, February 1, 2018

US not ruling out military strikes after new chemical attacks in Syria: Official


US also said that Assad's government may be developing new types of chemical weapons

A man is treated for suspected chlorine poisoning in an Aleppo hospital (screengrab)

Thursday 1 February 2018
The Trump administration is prepared to again take military action against Syrian government forces if necessary to deter the use of chemical weapons and is concerned they may be developing new methods to deliver such weapons, senior US officials said on Thursday.
Forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad have continued occasional use of chemical weapons in smaller amounts since a deadly attack last April that drew a US missile strike on a Syrian air base, the officials told reporters in a briefing.
If the international community does not act quickly to step up pressure on Assad, Syria's chemical weapons could spread beyond Syria and possibly even to the United States, one of the officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity. "It will spread if we don't do something," the official warned. 
In late January, rescue workers in a rebel-held enclave east of Damascus said government forces had again used chlorine gas, and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said at least 13 people had suffered suffocation.
The White Helmets civil defence rescue force, which operates in rebel-held parts of Syria, said 13 civilians including women and children had been "injured after (the) Assad regime used chlorine gas in Douma city in Eastern Ghouta".
The EU last year blacklisted over a dozen high ranking Syrian military officials and scientists over chemical weapons attacks on civilians inside Syria. 
At least 20 civilians were killed Thursday in Syrian government air strikes on rebel-held territory in the country's north, a war monitor said.
Elsewhere three children were reported killed in artillery strikes on rebel-held Eastern Ghouta, while state news agency SANA said seven people died in apparent retaliatory shelling of nearby government-held Damascus.
The aerial bombardments in the north pounded several areas in the provinces of Aleppo and Idlib, where government troops are waging a Russian-backed assault against rebels and militants.

Constitutional changes

Separately on Thursday, Syria’s opposition said it would cooperate with proposals made at a Russia-hosted conference this week to rewrite the country's constitution as long as the process remains under UN auspices.
Participants at Tuesday's meeting in the Black Sea resort of Sochi in Russia - which is a powerful supporter of Assad - agreed to set up a committee to change the Syrian constitution, and called for democratic elections.
The main Syrian opposition negotiating group had boycotted the gathering, while the United States, Britain and France also stayed away because of what they said was the Syrian government's refusal to properly engage.
However, chief opposition negotiator Nasr Hariri said the Syrian Negotiation Commission would "work positively" with the proposed committee because responsibility for setting it up had been handed to the UN Syria envoy, Staffan de Mistura.
'If the constitutional committee is set up... within the UN process in Geneva, strictly consistent with UN resolution 2254, yes we will continue to work with the UN process in this regard'
- Nasr Hariri, chief opposition negotiator 
"If the constitutional committee is set up... within the UN process in Geneva, strictly consistent with UN resolution 2254, yes we will continue to work with the UN process in this regard," he told a news conference.
Damascus welcomed the results of the Sochi meeting.
"The final statement of the conference confirmed the consensus of Syrians on ... preserving the sovereignty and unity of Syrian territory and people, and the exclusive right of the Syrian people to choose their own political and economic system," the Foreign Ministry said in a statement.
It made no mention of the decision to set up a committee to rewrite the constitution or the call for democratic elections.
Four years of on-off United Nations-mediated peace talks have yielded little progress toward ending the seven-year war, but De Mistura has pressed ahead with efforts for a political solution.
He said on Tuesday the constitutional committee agreed in Sochi "will become a reality in Geneva", where most of the UN-led Syria peace talks have been held. De Mistura also said he would decide the criteria for committee members and select about 50 people - from government, opposition and independent groups.

ASEAN Shared – the EU twin from Asia: New memories, old wounds

Diverse in nature and disperse in geography, ASEAN has achieved much within the course of fifty years.


by Rattana Lao-
( January 31, 2018, Bangkok, Sri Lanka Guardian) Imagining peace is a noble concept but what does it take to achieve it?
Where does peace begin?
In modern day Southeast Asia, this can trace back to the 8th of August, 1967 where five foreign ministers of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand joined hands to create the Association of Southeast Asian Nations or what became known as ASEAN.
Diverse in nature and disperse in geography, ASEAN has achieved much within the course of fifty years. The Association has grown in size of its membership and expanded to reach ambitious mandates. In 2015, ASEAN Economic Community was created to promote free movement of people, goods and ideas.
Economic integration was just the beginning.
Coated in a long and wordy text and signed on 17th November 2011, the Declaration on ASEAN Unity in Cultural Diversity strived toward achieving “people centred and socially responsible integration,” a socio-cultural integration in short.
Inspired by the European Union, creating one market was not enough for ASEAN. The Association is driven to “forging a common identity”. It is hoped that through such effort, peace, mutual understanding and harmony will be fostered in Southeast Asia.
A common identity for more than 600 million people?
A little lofty.
Perhaps.
To achieve this aspiration, the Shared History Project in Southeast Asia was launched by UNESCO-Bangkok Office with funding from the Republic of Korea in 2013 to create a new history curricular to be taught and learned across ASEAN by 2018.
The project brought together historians, educators and researchers across the region to search for common grounds of what aspect of history to teach and how to teach it.
It is all for a higher purpose and a better future.
As the late Secretary General of ASEAN, Dr. Surin Pitsuwan, persuasively said: “it is a better history education that will produce and provide a strong foundation for understanding where we have come from and to guide us into the future where we are going, as individuals, as local communities, as nation states, as a greater sub-regional grouping”.
Ideally speaking, a Shared History should be welcomed with an open arm. A project so inspiring that it aims to mitigate nationalism and bridge differences across the nations.
In an interview with Dr. William Brehm of Waseda University, he offered insight into this new architecture to build peace in ASEAN. There are many challenges to translate a Shared ASEAN.
Firstly, who will write these new memories? How can a consensus be built amongst people with diverse cultural heritage, background and social memories?
If history is written by the winners – who are the winners in ASEAN?
In ASEAN, disputes and conflicts amongst nations are not memories of things past, rather they are confounding issues aggravating daily hatred across countries within the region. Border dispute amongst nations is the case in point. As professor Anis H. Bajrektarevic already warned in his luminary policy paper ‘No Asian cenutr… “any absolute or relative shift in economic and demographic strength of one subject of international relations will inevitably put additional stress on the existing power equilibriums and constellations that support this balance in the particular theater of implicit or explicit structure.” Therefore, funded by the Thailand Research Fund, Akkaraphong Khamkhun of Thammasat University counted as many as 20 ongoing territorial disputes in ASEAN. These conflicts are between Malaysia and Brunei, Laos and Cambodia, Indonesia and the Phillippines.
This is not to mention the infamous Preah Vihear dispute that cuts deep wounds between Thailand and Cambodia.
While the wounds are still fresh, how would these stories be told? Whose stories, precisely?
Secondly, how can a Shared ASEAN formed when countries are deeply founded with nationalistic sentiment, where overt nationalism is propagated in and outside of classrooms, where the sense of hatred to “the other” is instilled for students.
The villain of one country, is the hero of the other. Myanmar – Thai historical text books are the prime examples on this. Thai kings are always the heroes for Thailand, while Myanmar kings are presented often and always as the villains.
Vice versa.
This is what a well-known Thai historian Thongchai Winichakul called “negative identification.”
For centuries, each country in ASEAN, is guilty for inflicting negative identification for others to elevate a sense of pride for themselves. It is easier to teach who is “us”, when you know who is “them”.
ASEAN is not alone in striving to form a new memory of themselves. In the case of Africa, Dr. Brehm argued that the Shared History project took as long as 35 years to be successful.
“Dated back to UNESCO’s 1964 General History of Africa project. That project created a set of eight volumes articulating a shared history of Africa. Huge disagreements among the various national historians prolonged the project; it took 35 years before all eight volumes were published.”
If a country is an imagined community, said Bennedict Anderson in his polemic book the Imagined Community, by schools, common language and mass media, is it possible, Dr. Brehm asked, for the UNESCO and ASEAN enthusiastic idealists to dream of a new common identity for 600 million people who speak more than hundreds of languages and dialects?
Is it possible that a common understanding can be reached and harmony can be fostered through a new kind of text book, new knowledge and new understanding to promote something as elusive as a regional identity?
Dr. Brehm is a little sceptical: “So long as education is organized by nation-states, history and historical memory will always promote nationalism and national identity. Everything else will be secondary or retro-fitted for the main purpose.”
Difficult but does that mean impossible?
Surely a Shared textbook is useful and much needed intervention to cement a mutual understanding amongst ASEAN students. For political, historical and educational reasons, however, this project requires careful consideration, time and resources to ensure that a new generation of ASEAN will be peace loving rather than nationalistic hawkish. Having a multilateral organization like UNESCO to promote history lesson offers a humble step toward regional peace.
Where does peace begin?
It begins with mutual understanding.
More importantly, it has to begin now.

How the Spies Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Fitbit

The debate over whether fitness trackers should be allowed in sensitive areas has dragged on for years.

https://foreignpolicymag.files.wordpress.com/2018/01/gettyimages-911900118.jpg?w=1551&h=1024&crop=0,0,15,0
A computer monitor displays a map available on the Strava website in Washington on Jan. 29. (Eric Baradat/AFP/Getty Images) 

When researchers last weekend noticed that a private company had published a global heat map of people running and walking around, based on data uploaded from its fitness application, the news sparked renewed debate in the U.S. national security community about rules governing wearable devices that transmit data.

What wasn’t disclosed by the intelligence and military officials reacting to the news is that the debate over whether fitness trackers should be allowed in sensitive spaces, particularly in intelligence outposts, has raged on for years. And many employees did in fact gain the right to wear certain types of trackers, even in the most sensitive locations.

However, that decision has consistently led to internal disagreement. In some cases, military and intelligence officials have wide discretion over where and when their employees can use those devices.

“We are aware of the potential impacts of devices that collect and report personal and locational data, such as information contained in the Strava ‘heat map’ recently reported in the press,” a current U.S. intelligence official wrote in an email to Foreign Policy. “The use of personal fitness and similar devices by individuals engaged in U.S. Government support is determined and directed by each agency and department.”

For example, starting around the spring of 2013 and continuing over the next year, the U.S. National Security Agency debated whether to allow its employees to wear certain low-power models of some fitness trackers, such as Fitbits, around the agency campus and inside sensitive compartmented information facilities, including top-secret rooms where cellphones are not allowed, three former intelligence officials told FP.

The NSA made the decision to allow the devices in certain areas, including some sensitive areas.
Those concerned about what information those devices reveal can point to the data published by Strava, a tech company whose application tracks fitness activity through phones and wearable devices. The revelations sparked renewed public debate about whether government employees were compromising sensitive information by using the application at and nearby work.

By searching the Strava heat map for facilities such as the NSA campus in Fort Meade, Maryland, or suspected military bases in war zones like Iraq and Syria, researchers could see bright lines tracking employees going for their daily jog — to and from the entrances or parking lots of those secretive facilities.

“NSA is aware of the information published by Strava,” Brynn Freeland, an NSA spokeswoman, wrote in an email to FP. “NSA will continue to operate in accordance with [Defense Department] and [Director of National Intelligence] guidance concerning the use of wearable fitness devices.”

While the NSA does allow wearable fitness monitors in some locations, not all national security agencies do. At military outposts globally, the decision has often been left up to the special security officer in charge; some commands decided it was a bad idea and banned it (though in places such as the U.S. Africa Command headquarters, there are still bright trails leading to the door on the Strava map).

In most classified spaces, there are signs clearly banning internet-connected devices with photos of Apple Watches and Fitbits, one military source told FP. There are no visible heat signals from inside the Pentagon.

Other intelligence agencies do show up in the Strava data: It’s easy to spot the gym at the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, or NGA; the most popular running trails from the NSA’s Dagger Complex in Germany; and paths leading from Camp Peary, the CIA’s secret training area known as the Farm.

By rooting around in the Strava data, Twitter users and researchers quickly identified dozens of military bases, American and foreign, as well as other facilities previously kept secret.

U.S. national security officials responded to news stories about the Strava heat map with concern but no immediate policy changes.

“It’s really clear that that heat map is a security risk,” White House cybersecurity advisor Rob Joyce told reporters Monday.

Joyce, who used to lead the nation’s top hackers at the NSA’s Tailored Access Operations unit, worked for the agency during its debate over allowing fitness trackers.

The “Strava heat map forces all to look at risks of big data analytics,” he wrote in a follow-up tweet, but urged people not to overreact to the map.

Back in 2013, the NSA decided to allow employees to wear fitness trackers in certain circumstances but only Bluetooth low-energy models with no additional internet connections. But not everyone thought it was a good idea — and some employees lodged complaints on internal NSA social media platforms.

The debate has been litigated in public forums as well. On a Reddit channel for Air Force veterans, there’s a thread from two years ago about whether military personnel can wear a fitness tracker. One commenter wrote they were aware of “certain policies in place for NSA” to allow for wearing the device.

“[A]ll agencies have different regulations,” another user responded.

One former Africom official told FP about an episode in Stuttgart, Germany, where American military personnel were being gifted free fitness trackers from a local hotel.

The ownership of the hotel, not far from Kelley Barracks, the headquarters of Africom, had rumored connections to Russia. A U.S. military security officer immediately confiscated the devices, citing counterintelligence concerns, the former official said.

A spokesperson for the command said security personnel were not aware of the free Fitbits being given away or concerns about the hotel.

In the meantime, U.S. intelligence agencies appear to be making their own policies. “The [intelligence community] was split on Fitbit,” one former intelligence official wrote to FP. “Lots of organizations allow (and still allow) Fitbits and some banned them.”

After the NSA greenlighted certain fitness trackers, other intelligence agencies followed suit, including NGA and the Defense Intelligence Agency, or DIA.

“[A]fter careful evaluation and testing … [NGA] established new policy and procedures to permit employees at its St. Louis, Springfield, Va., and Arnold, Mo. campuses to wear personal fitness devices inside its facilities,” an NGA spokesperson wrote in an email to FP. Those policies were implemented in February 2016. There are still certain “controlled and special access spaces” where no trackers are allowed.

An agency spokesperson told FP that the “real-world ‘perks’ at NGA is certainly a selling point.” Allowing people to use their Jawbones, Fitbits, and other wearable devices “increases morale and provides a higher quality of life.”

The CIA, however, said no to the devices, one former intelligence official told FP. The CIA declined to comment on questions about its security policies.

“We do not discuss specific policies concerning permissible or prohibited technologies at DIA,” James Kudla, a public affairs officer for the agency, wrote in an email to FP. “We routinely review DIA security policies and procedures to ensure we are mitigating the myriad risks we face.”

Jake Williams, the founder of the cybersecurity consulting company Rendition Infosec and a former vulnerability analyst for the Pentagon, told FP that he was “aware of those debates” concerning the security of wearable devices but thinks the technology is generally acceptable because “the risk of someone using a traditional Fitbit to pivot into a secure system is exceedingly low.”

In other words, an adversary can’t hack into a facility through a digital bracelet. And the location of most military and intelligence outposts are public, or at least well known, even if unacknowledged.
Where Williams finds a potential issue is with the GPS feature in wearable devices — where undercover agents might inadvertently leak personal information about themselves or the place they work.

Nathan Ruser, an Australian student who monitors areas of conflict and was one of the first to pore through the Strava data, says the ability to track a specific person’s route is the most dangerous aspect of the data.

“You can take this anonymised data and attribute it to the users,” he wrote in a message to FP. Individuals could be identified through different security flaws, such as one in Strava, which allows users to compare their time to real people who also ran the route.

“I know that some friends looking into it have found intelligence personnel through it,” Ruser said.
If Strava is connected to Facebook, it provides another tool for exposing someone’s life — including exercise routines, past deployments, and other personal information.

By late Monday afternoon, when users tried to create new routes, a notification popped up suggesting that the site was undergoing “server maintenance.” It’s unclear whether the maintenance was due to concerns about security flaws.

Even if military and intelligence officials choose to ban all electronics within sensitive spaces, it will be hard to get people to unplug right outside the door, while working out in public spaces nearby, or heading home — especially if those employees are not undercover and are working in unclassified spaces.

For example, a high-ranking NGA official regularly ran sub six-minute miles right outside the agency’s headquarters, his name appearing on the leaderboards despite choosing to share data with only friends, according to the Strava data. “From NGA’s perspective, this is an unclassified location, surrounded by public roads which NGA employees often use for exercise,” the NGA spokesperson wrote.

“I am a Strava user with sharing enabled,” one former intelligence official told FP, who described running around GCHQ, the British signals intelligence agency.

“No doubt a few of those lines on the heat map around GCHQ were mine.”

Trump-FBI feud over classified memo erupts into open conflict


 

The long-simmering feud between President Trump and the Justice Department erupted into open conflict Wednesday when the FBI publicly challenged the president’s expected release of a contentious and classified memo related to the probe of Russian meddling in the 2016 election.

In a rare unsigned statement, the FBI cited “grave concerns” with inaccuracies and omissions in the four-page memo, which was written by House Republicans and alleges abuses at the Justice Department connected to secret surveillance orders. Trump has told advisers that the memo could benefit him by undercutting the special counsel’s investigation and allow him to oust senior Justice Department officials — and that he wants it released soon, something that could happen as early as Thursday.

“We have grave concerns about the material omissions of fact that fundamentally impact the memo’s accuracy,” the FBI said.

The extraordinary statement pits the nation’s top federal law enforcement agency against a commander in chief who already has fired one FBI director and has repeatedly expressed a desire to remove the attorney general and others connected to the Russia investigation. That probe, led by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III, is aimed in part at determining whether any Trump associates coordinated with Russian efforts to interfere in the 2016 election and investigating any related issues.
The FBI’s public warning came after several days of failed attempts by FBI Director Christopher A. Wray and other Justice Department officials to convince the president and his senior staff in private meetings that the memo should be blocked because it poses a risk to national security.

Trump was captured on video Tuesday night after his State of the Union address telling a South Carolina congressman that he was angry about the memo’s conclusions and would “100 percent” release it. “Don’t worry about it,” Trump told Rep. Jeff Duncan (R-S.C.), who was urging its disclosure. 

Wray has repeatedly tried to warn the White House against releasing the disputed document — including a visit to the White House on Monday afternoon with Deputy Attorney General Rod J. Rosenstein to lobby Chief of Staff John F. Kelly. Later that night, Wray called Kelly again, but Kelly did not give ground, saying the president was inclined to release the memo, according to people familiar with the call who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the conversation. Justice Department officials have been leery of talking to Trump about the memo, given the ongoing Russia inquiry, these people said. 

Trump wants the memo released in upcoming days, according to senior White House officials and advisers who said the president sees it as key to making changes at the Justice Department — particularly pushing out Rosenstein, who oversees Mueller’s investigation and who Trump regularly derides in mocking terms. One senior administration official said that the White House had already heard and dismissed the FBI’s arguments and that the memo could be released as early as Thursday.
Officials said the FBI issued the statement knowing that it would probably not affect the decision. Within the FBI, many are resigned to the prospect that it will be made public soon but want to make clear their strong disagreement with the document’s claims and offer at least a general rebuttal, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss private deliberations.
The unsigned statement is likely to further exacerbate tensions between Trump and senior officials at the Justice Department. While raging about the special counsel’s investigation over the past year, the president has fired FBI Director James B. Comey; shamed and sought to oust Attorney General Jeff Sessions; excoriated FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe, who stepped aside this week; and talked repeatedly about shoving aside Rosenstein.

Few things have frustrated Trump as much as the law enforcement agencies he cannot fully control. Allies say he is upset that he can’t control “my guys” at the “Trump Justice Department” and that no one seems particularly loyal to him. He has also broken long-held protocols by directly calling Justice Department officials, and instructed his chief of staff to do the same, without the White House counsel on the phone.

Rather than lessen his trouble, these and other actions have opened new avenues in Mueller’s probe, which has included questions for witnesses about potential obstruction of justice and the president’s behavior. 

The memo in dispute was written by staffers for House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes (R-Calif.) earlier in January after the panel obtained documents related to a controversial dossier of allegations concerning Trump and his purported ties to Kremlin officials. 

The memo alleges that the British former spy who wrote the dossier, Christopher Steele, passed bad information to the FBI — though people familiar with the document said it does not determine whether he did so intentionally or by mistake. The memo alleges that the information was used in an application to conduct surveillance on former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page, according to people familiar with the matter. Officials familiar with the Page case have said Steele’s information represented a small part of the secret court document.

Late Wednesday night, Rep. Adam B. Schiff (Calif.), the panel’s ranking Democrat, accused Nunes in a letter of making “material changes” to the memo before sending it to the White House — meaning the memo panel members voted to make public was not the same one as the president is presently reviewing.

Schiff accused Nunes of “deliberately misleading” the committee and demanded that Nunes withdraw the version he sent to the White House, insisting that “there is no longer a valid basis for the White House to review the altered document” and approve its public release.

A spokesman for the committee’s Republican majority called the changes “minor edits.”

In a statement late Wednesday, the spokesman, Jack Langer, said, “In its increasingly strange attempt to thwart publication of the memo, the Committee Minority is now complaining about minor edits to the memo, including grammatical fixes and two edits requested by the FBI and by the Minority themselves.”

It is highly unusual for the White House and the FBI to be so publicly at odds over a matter of national security, and it was unclear what impact the disagreement might have on the standing of Wray, Rosenstein or Sessions.

Trump has told advisers that Wray should make personnel changes more quickly at the FBI, but they have urged the president to have patience. Wray is a favorite of Trump adviser Chris Christie and represented the former New Jersey governor in an investigation over bridge lane closings for political retribution. 

Senior FBI officials say the GOP memo’s allegations of abuse are inaccurate and unfair, but they also believe the FBI would not be able to effectively counter those claims, because many of the details are classified, according to current and former officials. And they have argued to Kelly and other White House officials, including White House counsel Donald McGahn, that such a release would set a bad precedent.

“The FBI takes seriously its obligations to the FISA Court and its compliance with procedures overseen by career professionals in the Department of Justice and the FBI,” the statement said, referring to the court that oversees use of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act. “We are committed to working with the appropriate oversight entities to ensure the continuing integrity of the FISA process.” 

The senior Justice Department officials have grown concerned that the White House’s process, which is supposed to include a review by lawyers and National Security Council officials, is not sufficiently thorough.

“No one here is going to make a decision that jeopardizes national security,” White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said Wednesday morning on CNN. “There’s always a chance” the memo won’t be released, she said.

Trump allies have said for weeks the president will want the document released and that it is only a matter of time. Later Wednesday morning, Kelly told Fox News radio that the memo will “be released here pretty quick.”

The House Intelligence Committee voted along party lines Monday to make the document available to the public after Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.) and other conservatives lobbied Trump on the memo’s release during the government shutdown fight.

Trump supporters say that Justice Department officials are simply trying to protect their own controversial decisions and that abuses deserve to be aired. Nunes called FBI objections to the memo’s release “spurious.”

“It’s clear that top officials used unverified information in a court document to fuel a counterintelligence investigation during an American political campaign,” Nunes said in a statement. “Once the truth gets out, we can begin taking steps to ensure our intelligence agencies and courts are never misused like this again.”

The Intelligence Committee’s ranking Democrat, Rep. Adam B. Schiff (D-Calif.), has accused Nunes of orchestrating an “effort to circle the wagons around the White House and distract from the Russia probe.”

Schiff has suggested Nunes coordinated with the Trump administration to release the memo, saying that “it is hard for me to escape the conclusion that this is anything but doing the bidding of the White House,” according to a transcript, made public Wednesday, of the committee’s closed-door meeting Monday night.

When Rep. Mike Quigley (D-Ill.) asked during the same meeting whether Nunes had coordinated with the White House to release the memo, the chairman said, “As far as I know, no.” When pressed whether his staff had done so, Nunes refused to answer.

Sanders said in the CNN interview that Trump was “not aware of any conversation or coordination” between Nunes and the White House on the production or release of the memo. But she did not rule out the possibility, saying, “I just don’t know the answer.”

Elise Viebeck, John Wagner and Carol D. Leonnig contributed to this report.
Rohingya rebel group denies links to human, drug trafficking groups

By  | 

THE armed rebel group fighting for the liberation of the Rohingya people has accused the Burmese military of hiring violent gangs to pose as its members to tarnish its “noble image.”
In a statement released Wednesday, the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) said the “Burmese terrorist government” had commissioned groups that were committing offences in their name. They also accused other independent armed groups of the same.

“There are other armed groups, dacoit groups (armed robbers), human trafficking groups, drug trafficking groups and some other groups commissioned by the Burmese terrorist government that have been operating various activities inside Arakan State, as well as inside Rohingya refugee camps in Bangladesh, by disguising as the members of ARSA with the intention to tarnish the noble image of ARSA in the eyes of the international community,” the statement reads.
PRESS STATEMENT [31/01/2018]: - Notice to other & groups, Trafficking & Trafficking groups & some other groups commissioned by the Terrorist Govt operating in disguise as
 
It is not clear what specific incidents the group are referring to. The statement goes on to assert that it strictly does not allow any of its members to attack civilians “regardless of their religious and ethnic background”. It’s only action is in self-defence and directed only at the “terrorist military regime,” referring to the Tatmadaw, as the Burmese army is known.

ARSA were responsible for the Aug 25 attack on police outposts in northern Rakhine State, which prompted the most recent outbreak of violence in the region. The military “clearance operations” that followed forced over 655,000 Rohingya refugees to flee across the border to neighbouring Bangladesh.
2018-01-08T085720Z_1750864849_RC1F8E1C5E00_RTRMADP_3_MYANMAR-ROHINGYA-BANGLADESH-1024x680
Rohingya refugees walk inside Kutupalong refugee camp near Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh January 8, 2018. Source: Reuters/Tyrone Siu

Kutupalong in Bangladesh’s border region is now home to one of the biggest refugee camps in the world. Talks between Bangladesh and Burma resulted in a plan for repatriation of the Rohingya Muslim minority. The process was due to start last week but was postponed after Bangladeshi officials said more time was required to prepare. There was also strong reluctance from the refugees to return to Rakhine.

Aid agencies voiced concern that repatriation is too premature when the safety of the refugees cannot be guaranteed upon their return to Burma where anti-Rohingya sentiment is still running high.

2018-01-24T042700Z_1101558788_RC19AE1814E0_RTRMADP_3_MYANMAR-ROHINGYA-REPATRIATION-1024x683
A man walks past the entrance of a camp set up by Myanmar’s Social Welfare, Relief and Resettlement Minister to prepare for the repatriation of displaced Rohingyas, who fled to Bangladesh, outside Maungdaw in the state of Rakhine, Myanmar January 24, 2018. Source: Reuters

One day before repatriation was due to start on Jan 23, refugee camp leader Yusuf Ali became the second Rohingya representative to be killed in a matter of days. As both men were pro-repatriation, reports surrounding the killings indicate their position on the issue may have been linked to the deaths.

In Wednesday’s statement, ARSA declared that they would name the leaders of the other armed groups if they continue to masquerade as ARSA members, saying: “Our sole objective is to defend, salvage and protect the innocent Rohingya indigenous native ethnic community.”

Does Labour’s plan to give 8,000 houses to the homeless actually work?


By Martin Williams-1 Feb 2018

Jeremy Corbyn has said a Labour government would “immediately purchase 8,000 properties across the country” to house homeless people.

Interviewed on the BBC’s Marr Show, he said local authorities should be allowed to take over homes that have deliberately been left vacant.

Could the policy work, and do Mr Corbyn’s numbers add up?

Who are the homes for?

In the interview, Mr Corbyn said the 8,000 houses would be for “people that are currently homeless”.

“Homelessness” is a broad term which could include people who have a roof over their heads but are living in unsuitable accommodation or places where they do not have the right to stay. People actually living on the streets are usually classed as “rough sleepers”.

A subsequent press release from the Labour Party clarified they would be for “rough sleepers” with a “history of sleeping on the streets”.

It added: “The new homes would be a mix of ‘move-on’ housing for people leaving homelessness hostels and ‘housing first’… where rough sleepers with complex needs are moved into permanent accommodation quickly to give them a fresh start.”

How many rough sleepers are there?

Monitoring the levels of homelessness and rough sleeping is extremely difficult – and the statistics are unreliable.

In England, figures suggest there are at least 4,750 rough sleepers at any one time. On the face of it, this seems to be at odds with Labour’s plans: if they buy 8,000 homes and give one to every rough sleeper, surely they’d have more than 3,000 homes left over?

However, many experts and organisations believe the official figures for rough sleepers underestimate the scale of the problem. And, in 2015, the UK Statistics Authority ruled that “Rough Sleeping statistics do not currently meet the standard to be National Statistics”.

They are collected by local authorities – but less than 17 per cent of them conducted a proper street count last year.

Instead, the vast majority rely simply on an estimate based on consultations with local agencies. Most estimates are validated by the Homeless Link charity, but the government admits the figures are “subject to some uncertainty”.

So, to try and get better figures, the homeless charity Crisis commissioned its own research, based on data from a wide range of different sources.

It found there were around 8,000 rough sleepers in England in 2016, and another 34,000 living in hostels.

And the figures are rising – predicted to reach 10,000 rough sleepers in England by 2021, and 11,000 in the UK as a whole. (Housing is a devolved matter, so Labour’s policy would likely only apply to England).

Are 8,000 homes available?

We know there are thousands of empty properties: research published earlier this month showed that about 11,000 homes across the UK have been left vacant for at least ten years. These include many privately owned homes.

In his interview, Jeremy Corbyn said the government should reconsider social priorities when “luxury, glossy, shimmering block[s]” of flats are built in areas with lots of rough sleeping.

But FactCheck understands that Labour’s plan to buy 8,000 new homes would not include any private property. Instead, the buildings will come exclusively from housing association stock.

We asked Labour how many housing association houses were currently vacant, but they couldn’t provide a figure. We will update this blog if they do.

‘Immediate’ purchase?

Jeremy Corbyn said a Labour government would “immediately purchase 8,000 properties”.
However, FactCheck has learned that Labour’s actual policy would notsee a direct and immediate purchase of 8,000 properties. Instead, it would immediately strike a deal with housing associations.

Then, as they become vacant, properties would be earmarked for people with a history of rough sleeping to move into.

The amount of time houses need to be vacant for, before being taken, would be negotiated with housing associations. Under the plans, housing associations would remain responsible for maintaining the properties.

So how much would all this cost?

Labour could not provide us with a figure. But we understand these would not be regarded as direct purchases by the Labour Party, because it is part of their wider house-building programme.

The money would come out of its capital spend put forward at the last election.

Would the policy make a difference?

An official House of Commons Library briefing says the “most important” reason for increased homelessness is “the continuing shortfall in levels of new house building relative to levels of household formation.”

But when we drill down to look more specifically at rough sleepers, the mix of causes is perhaps a little more complicated.

A recent Parliamentary report identified “reductions in entitlement to Housing Benefit/ Local Housing Allowance” as one of the key factors contributing to the increase in rough sleepers.

But surveys have also shown that relationship breakdown is the single largest trigger of rough sleeping (although the trigger may be different from the reason someone continues to sleep rough over a longer period).

Studies have shown that between 30-50 per cent of rough sleepers suffer from mental health problems and around half have serious alcohol problems, but it is difficult to determine whether this is a cause of continued rough sleeping – or the result of it.

This question has been put to the test by the Housing First scheme which runs in many European countries. It provides rough sleepers with long-term accommodation, without requiring them to address their wider support needs.

Based on this, experts have argued there is now “consistent compelling evidence internationally” to show that providing accommodation is an “extremely effective intervention with people with long-term experiences of homelessness and complex needs, particularly substance misuse issues and/or mental health problems”.

Indeed, the UK government has said that the scheme “appears to have had a positive impact in Finland”.

Of course, there will always be exceptions to the rule. But there appears to be a strong case to support Labour’s idea to provide rough sleepers with long-term accommodation.

Where Labour’s policy is less compelling, however, is in the numbers. Where exactly are these houses? When will they become vacant? And how much will it all cost?