Peace for the World

Peace for the World
First democratic leader of Justice the Godfather of the Sri Lankan Tamil Struggle: Honourable Samuel James Veluppillai Chelvanayakam

Thursday, September 7, 2017

Before dancing with Sarah

Are our leaders ready to take over the change management processes? In other words, how many of them have acquired the necessary skills before starting to dance with Sarah?

logoThursday, 7 September 2017 

I was riding in the middle of an organisational storm. You could call it a business take-over or a merger. The term doesn’t matter. What matters is the induced “change” would affect all stakeholders, including customers, employees and even the families of employees.

Government Does Not Know Whether It Is Coming Or Going

P. Soma Palan
logoI refer to the two diametrically opposite statements made by:
1. Former Army Commander, Field Marshall  General Sarath Fonseka and now a Minister in the Government, has said as reported in the front page of the Daily Mirror of the 2nd September headlined, “I am ready to give evidence against General Jagath Jayasuriya,” and
2. The President’s statement in the Daily Mirror of 4th September, under the front page headline that “I won’t allow War Crimes charges against General Jagath Jayasuriya”
These two antithetical statements exposes that, the Government does not have a unified stand on one and the same matter.
In respect of (b) above, one does not know whether it is the personal view of the President or it is that of the Government. If it is the personal view of the President, it is of no consequence.  If it is the decision of the Government, then the Field Marshall is violating the principle of collective responsibility of the Government. The stand of the President and that of the Field Marshall are conflicting and contradictory.
Irrespective of above, judging objectively the validity of both statements, one is inclined to accept the stand of the Field Marshall, Sarath Fonseka for following reasons:
1. The Field Marshall is objective and has the courage to face the challenge of an International Inquiry against General Jagath Jayasuriya. His statement is a positive one that he is prepared to give evidence against the General , and not against  an inquiry against the General. If it was the latter, then the matter is open. His evidence could be either against or in defense of the General. Whereas, the Field Marshall has positively and in no uncertain terms stated that his evidence will be against the General. This means then, the War Crimes charges against the General is prima facie valid and maintainable.
2. Field Marshall Sarath Fonseka was the Operational Field Commander of the war against the LTTE. He was privy to the operational conduct of the War. Therefore, his evidence would be crucial, credible and carries weight than that of a non-combatant President.
On the other hand, one cannot accept the statement of the President for the reasons that:
1. In the first place, he was not the President and the nominal Commander of the Armed forces during the War.
2. Hence, the President was not privy to, and had no direct knowledge of the conduct of the war. Therefore, the position of the Field Marshall is overridingly valid.
3. Whilst the Country being a member of the World Body, the United Nations Organisation, and its Agencies, such as the UNHRC, it cannot defy the world body. The UNO and its Agencies is charged with the responsibility to maintain world peace and order, and uphold International Law and International Humanitarian Law. Sri Lanka is under obligation to support the actions of the UNO and the UNHRC. It can defy only by leaving the World Body.
4. The President says that the “threat of War Crimes charges and hostile attitude of the Global community against Sri Lanka was  the direct result of Mahinda Rajapaksa’s regime’s failure to create an atmosphere of Reconciliation, Reconstruction and Rehabilitation” after the end of war. This argument does not hold water. The war crimes charges are not connected to the three ‘R’s. It is independent of it. With or without the post war three ‘R’s, the charges will stand. It will not absolve the Country of the War Crimes charges.

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President told me to appoint Mevan - IGP

President told me to appoint Mevan - IGP

Sep 07, 2017

IGP Pujitha Jayasundara has said that it was president Maithripala Sirisena who had instructed him to appoint SSP Mevan Silva to the CID director position that fell vacant following the promotion of B.R.S.R. Nagahamulla to the rank of DIG. He has said so with a group of top police officers.

However, he has refuted the claim published on social media and websites. The IGP has said that Mevan was a skilled officer and that he personally liked him. He said he had recommended Mevan’s name only to the police commission at the president’s request. He said it was unfair that he has to take the full responsibility before the public.
This was the reason why he had not attended the commission meeting last time, he said, adding that he had no need to appear on behalf of Mevan. The police commission will take a decision to its liking, he said.
The police commission is due to meet today to take (07) a decision if it will be Shani Abeysekara or Mevan Silva.

Sri Lanka jails Rajapakse's top aide over corruption

Sri Lankan aide to former president Mahinda Rajapakse, Lalith Weeratunga (3L), and former director-general of the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission Anusha Palpita (R) have been jailed for corruption
Sri Lankan aide to former president Mahinda Rajapakse, Lalith Weeratunga (3L), and former director-general of the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission Anusha Palpita (R) have been jailed for corruption
Sri Lanka's High Court jailed a top civil servant for three years Thursday in the first corruption sanction against a member of former president Mahinda Rajapakse's government.
Lalith Weeratunga was also fined two million rupees and ordered to pay 50 million in damages for spending 600 million rupees ($4 million) of state cash on Rajapakse's failed re-election bid in 2015.
Weeratunga, then head of the civil service and Rajapakse's most senior aide, was found guilty of misappropriating money belongining to the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission (TRC), which he chaired.
The TRC director-general of the time Anusha Palpita was also jailed for three years for allowing its cash to be diverted to promote Rajapakse's election bid.
The court was told that 600 million rupees in gifts of textiles was given to Buddhist devotees along with Rajapakse's election propoganda material.
Election officials told the court they were aware of the distribution of parcels of cloth to voters and ruled it a violation of election laws.
"The charges against the two accused have been proved beyond reasonable doubt," High Court judge Gihan Kulatunga said.
The ex-president and his relatives controlled nearly 70 percent of Sri Lanka's national budget during his rule that ended in January 2015, when he was defeated at the polls by former ally Maithripala Sirisena.
The new president has vowed to investigate allegations that members of Rajapakse's family and officials siphoned off billions of dollars from the country during his nearly 10-year rule.
Two of Rajapakse's three sons, including legislator Namal, have been charged with money laundering. Those cases are still pending.
The former president himself is not under investigation.
But Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera announced recently that five billion rupees ($33 million) in bank deposits belonging to members of the last government have been frozen pending money laundering investigations.

Paris Accord: What ‘State of the Climate – 2016’ says

logoTuesday, 5 September 2017 

‘State of the Climate – 2016’ (SOC-16) is a 298-page document published by the American Meteorological Society. It is based on contributions from about 500 scientists from 60 countries – unfortunately none from Sri Lanka – and thousands of data sets.

It was released online on 8 August 2017 giving valuable information on how 40 climate variables have changed during 2016. I have been studying this since 2010 and waiting for the 2016 report to check the validity of some of the arguments I have been advocating since of late.

Perpetual Treasuries Chief Dealer reveals:Aloysius received inside info from Central Bank



article_image
by Shyam Nuwan Ganewatte-

The Presidential Commission of Inquiry, probing alleged bond scams, resumed sittings yesterday, with Chief Dealer of Perpetual Treasuries (PTL), Nuwan Thilina Salgado, testifying. He said the company had been able to make unprecedentedly huge profits because of inside information and price sensitive confidential information PTL Chairman Arjun Aloysius had received from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka.

Salgado told the commission that from 2015 to 2016, the company had recorded an unusually high profit of Rs. 11 billion and the price sensitive confidential information provided by Mahendran had helped them take right decisions in placing bids for Treasury bonds.

In answer to a question by commission member Justice Prasanna Jayawardena, Salgado said Arjun Aloysius knew the interest rates at which the Central Bank accepted bids for Treasury bonds.

The final decision on bids were taken by the Central Bank Governor.

The witness said the then Central Bank Governor Arjuna Mahendran was the father-in -law of PTL Chairman Arjun Aloysius.

Answering further questions by Justice Jayawardena, Salgado said that Aloysius had information about the Employees’ Provident Fund (EPF) would make bids on March 29, 2016.

Salgado said that Aloysius’ informers were within the establishments from where he received information.

When Justice Jayawardena asked whether it was true that Saman Kumara was among them, Salgado answered in the affirmative.

He said the information about the bids, placed by National Savings Bank, had been provided by Navin Anuradha.

Salgado admitted that Arjun Aloysius had made use of the price sensitive confidential, inside information by passing it on to the company’s Chief Executive Officer, Kasun Palisena so as to make the bids in a manner favourable to Perpetual Treasuries.

The Chief Dealer of PTL also said that on one occasion when such information was received by Aloysius, in Singapore, he had been present, but he had left the room as it was an illegal practice.

He said so when Additional Solicitor General Yasantha Kodagoda played the recording of a telephone conversation between Kasun Palisena and Arjun Aloysius before the Commission and raised a question.

Commission Chairman Justice K.T. Chitrasiri, said former Central Bank Governor, Arjuna Mahendran, and his son-in-law Aloysius, Chairman Perpetual Treasuries, would be summoned before the Commission during the coming week.

Kodagoda said that though the Commission officers had visited Aloysius’ residence to hand over the summons, they had been unable to meet him.

He told the commission that even Aloysius’ Private Secretary didn’t know where his boss resided.

Additional Solicitor General Kodagoda said Aloysius had two passports and requested the Commission to order Aloysius’ lawyer to submit their numbers to the Commission quickly.

Additional Solicitor General: No one knows the whereabouts of Arjun Aloysius and he has not informed anyone where he was going.

At this point, Aloysius’ lawyer Anuja Premaratne told the Commission that his client had not gone into hiding.

Premaratne said his client was ready to appear before the commission on any date and he would inform his client that the commission was looking for him to hand over the summons.

Additional Solicitor General: The issue is that Aloysius has not informed anyone of his whereabouts.

Premaratne: There are many who disappear without leaving a trace. It is no surprise.

Commission Chairman Justice Chitrasiri said the Commission’s objective as well as responsibility was to inquire into how the bond auctions had taken place and complete its task and if it could be done the commission members would be very happy about it.

Justice Chitrasiri said the commission had to summon more witnesses than expected as it had to ascertain the veracity of evidence some witnesses had given.

Ravi Karunanyake’s Brother-In-Law Romesh Jayawardene Removed As Chairman Of The Development Lotteries Board

Ravi Karunanyake’s Brother-In-Law Romesh Jayawardene Removed As Chairman Of The Development Lotteries Board
Asian Mirror
September 06, 2017
Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera has taken steps to remove MP Ravi Karunanyake’s brother-in-law Romesh Jayawardene from his position as Chairman of the Development Lotteries Board (DLB).
The DLB and the National Lotteries Board (NLB) were both brought under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs after MP Ravi Karunanyake was appointed Minister of Foreign Affairs during the first Cabinet reshuffle of the national unity government.
Following MP Karunanyake’s public resignation on corruption charges the DLB and the NLB were returned to the Finance Ministry under Minister Mangala Samaraweera, where they belonged.
The move by the Finance Minister to remove MP Ravi Karunanyake’s brother-in-law Romesh Jayawardene from his position as Chairman of the DLB is seen as being in keeping with the values of the ‘yahapalanaya’ government.

Rs. 8 million to be spent on Police day, although barracks have no lavatories

Rs. 8 million to be spent on Police day, although barracks have no lavatories

Sep 07, 2017

Reports say Rs. eight million is to be spent on the function to mark the 151st Police Day. IGP Pujith Jayasundara has this time changed the date for the Police Day too.
Sri Lanka police was started on 03 September 1866. Hence, Police Day fell on September 03. However, Jayasundara changed it to September 07, as he had other work on his diary on that day.
The IGP is going to spend Rs. eight million on the Police Day at a time when police barracks are even without lavatories.

Subject minister Sagala Ratnayake recently made an unannounced visit to the police barracks at D.R. Wijewardena Mawatha and saw that they were not fit for human habitation. Seeing that they had no proper lavatory facilities, the minister reprimanded all top police officers. However, Pujith does not care about the sufferings of junior policemen and only tries to be smart in front of his bosses.

Policemen are yet to receive their pairs of shoes, socks, vests. But, Police Day is to be marked at a cost of Rs. eight million. The estimate has been sent to law and order secretary Jagath Wijeweera. Being a good friend of Pujith, he will approve it without delay.

India gets its first woman as full time Defense Minister

India gets its first woman as full time Defense Minister

Sep 06, 2017

Three years after coming to power, Prime Minister Narendra Modi undertook a significant cabinet reshuffle, bringing in India’s first woman as a full time defense minister along with an unprecedented number of former bureaucrats.

Nirmala Sitharaman, who was in charge of the ministry for commerce and industry, became independent India’s first woman to be appointed as a full time defense minister, a fact that immediately drew cheers from feminists. Hailing from the southern state of Tamil Nadu, she was an official spokesperson of the ruling BJP, before the party came to power in 2014. Prime Minister Indira Gandhi had held the defense portfolio as an additional charge twice, in 1975 and 1980.
Considered a quiet and efficient minister, her elevation to cabinet rank also brought relief to her senior colleague, Arun Jaitley, who is also the finance minister. The government had come in for considerable criticism for not having a full-time defense or finance minister at a time when the Indian economy seems to be in a downward spiral.
A slew of former bureaucrats – a Union Home Secretary R K Singh, a police commissioner, Satya Pal Singh, a distinguished diplomat Hardeep Singh Puri and an urban government official known for his demolition of illegal structures, K J Alphons – led the news for their inclusion into the cabinet. This is unprecedented and speaks volumes about the lack of either the Prime Minister’s faith in his party colleagues to govern, or his dependency on experienced professionals to usher in a new form of governance.
The minister for petroleum, Dharmendra Pradhan, the minister for power, Piyush Goel, and the minister for commerce, Sitharaman were all seen as strong performers and thus promoted to cabinet ranks. A notable aspect of their promotions is the fact that they are not seen as a regional leaders – usually a consideration for cabinet slots – and instead being rewarded for performing well.
Why reshuffle
The expansion is primarily seen as a desperate need to shore up bench strength in the union cabinet. The fact that the government had to pick up a slew of bureaucrats indicates that the Prime Minister had little faith in party colleagues who are members of Parliament. This apparent lack of faith is buttressed by the fact that two of the four former bureaucrats inducted today, are yet to be elected to either house of Parliament.
A key factor for this expansion, said political sources in the BJP, was driven by the need to show that the government is serious about addressing the challenges facing the Indian economy. The demonetization in November last year has led to the economy shrinking in the March to June quarter to 5.7% from a high of nearly 7%, which is a trend that started in the last quarter. Industrial growth is also reported to be down and more worryingly, jobs are just not growing. The youth, considered a significant factor for the BJP’s success of the general election in 2014, is likely to get restive if measures don’t generate employment soon.
This has been one of the rare governments in independent India without a full-time defense minister for a long time. Manohar Parrikar, a close party colleague of Prime Minister Modi returned to his home state of Goa as Chief Minister after an uninspiring stint with the federal government. While Parrikar had initiated some measures to modernize the Indian military, key decisions on military acquisitions such as buying the French Rafale combat aircraft for a little over US$8 million, continued to be with the Prime Minister’s Office.
Political observers also noticed that the ministers who were asked to resign, received calls from the BJP Party President Amit Shah and not the Prime Minister. Seen as the closest aide to Prime Minister Modi since his days as the Chief Minister of the state of Gujarat, Shah wields considerable power and is also viewed as the key architect of a string of electoral successes, the last being the massive win in India’s largest state, Uttar Pradesh.
A number of junior ministers also received promotions, indicating the emergence of a new crop of leaders in the ruling BJP, all set to dominate the general elections slated for 2019. Notable among them was Piyush Goel, who is now in charge of the railways portfolio, a politically and economically significant ministry. A spate of rising railway accidents had put the earlier incumbent, Suresh Prabhu, under considerable pressure. After a recent major railway accident Prabhu tendered his resignation, but tweeted on Twitter that the Prime Minister had asked him to wait. He has now been allocated the commerce and industry portfolio.
The Politics
Any cabinet reshuffle in India is also a major political message to allies, the Opposition and the people. According to key political sources in the government, the BJP’s latest ally, the Chief Minister of Bihar, Nitish Kumar, the cabinet reshuffle is viewed as a slight to him.
Kumar had exited the BJP’s National Democratic Alliance before the general elections in 2014, citing his disapproval of Modi as the prime ministerial candidate. He returned to the alliance this year, in his home state, ditching the earlier alliance which had helped him register an impressive win in the state’s assembly elections.
Political sources told Asia Times that the reshuffle was a message to current and future political allies that the BJP will be continue to be the predominant political entity. Long-term allies such as the Maharashtra-based Shiv Sena Party, which has been occasionally critical of Modi has now been put on notice, these sources said.
Portfolio Mis-match
Despite a number of prominent bureaucrats being sworn in as ministers, it is not clear how their earlier expertise will help the government. Hardeep Singh Puri, who was a career-diplomat for over three decades, was given the urban development portfolio with independent charge. It is not clear how his years of negotiating intricate trade and diplomatic treaties on the global stage will come in handy in a politically-sensitive portfolio such as housing and urban affairs. Ideally, he could have been placed in the ministries of external affairs, or defence or even commerce, which involves a considerable amount of negotiations on international trade.

K J Alphons, who retired from the Indian Administrative Service and built his reputation as a strict bureaucrat dealing with urban planning, has been given twin portfolios of the ministry of tourism and the ministry of electronics and information technology. The latter is a key ministry and is critical to the Prime Minister’s pet project, Digital India. R K Singh, who is a former union home secretary and has considerable experience in dealing with law and order, will now be in charge of the power ministry, while former Mumbai Police Commissioner Satya Pal Singh, who quit his police career prematurely to join the BJP and become a Member of Parliament, is now handling the ministry of human resource development. It is not clear what calculations went into these appointments, but they will continue to intrigue Delhi’s political circles for now.
- http://www.atimes.com/

Israel hits Syria target reportedly tied to chemical weapons

Air strikes in Hama come a day after UN blamed Assad government for April Sarin gas attack in Khan Sheikhun

An Israeli F-15 fighter jet takes off in the Negev desert in 2016 (AFP)

Syria's army said Israel targeted one of its positions in Hama province early on Thursday, which a war monitor said was a branch of the government agency accused by the US of producing chemical weapons.
The attack comes a day after a UN probe blamed the government of Bashar al-Assad for a Sarin gas attack on the Idlib town of Khan Sheikhun in April.
It is the first time the UN has directly apportioned blame for chemical weapons use in the Syrian conflict.
Read more ►
A Syrian army statement said the air strike killed two people and caused material damage near the town of Masyaf. 
The Syrian army said: "Israeli warplanes at 2.42am fired a number of missiles from Lebanese air space, targeting one of our military positions near Masyaf, which led to material damage and the deaths of two members of the site."
It warned of "dangerous repercussions of this aggressive action to the security and stability of the region".
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a war monitor, said the strikes hit a Scientific Studies and Research Centre facility, the agency the US describes as Syria's chemical weapons manufacturer.
The UN blamed Assad for the Sarin gas attack in Khan Sheikhun in April (AFP)
The Observatory also said that a military storage camp next to the centre was used to store ground-to-ground rockets and that personnel of Iran and its allied Lebanese Hezbollah group had been seen there more than once.
It gave the total number of dead and wounded in the strike as seven.
Israeli officials have in the past admitted that Israel has attacked weapons shipments bound for Hezbollah, an ally of the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, without specifying which ones.
Masyaf also produces chemical weapons and explosive barrels that have killed thousands of Syrian civilians
- Amos Yadlin, former Israeli spy chief
An Israeli army spokeswoman declined to discuss reports of a strike in Syria, saying the army does not comment on operational matters.
Amos Yadlin, a former head of Israeli military intelligence, tweeted that the reported attack was not routine and targeted a Syrian military scientific centre.
"The facility at Masyaf also produces chemical weapons and explosive barrels that have killed thousands of Syrian civilians," Yadlin said in the tweet.
There was no independent confirmation that this was the target but the United Nations has said in the past that the Syrian government has carried out chemical weapons attacks, which Damascus denies.
Israeli officials have also previously said that Israel and Russia, another Assad ally, maintain regular contacts to coordinate military action in Syria.
Jets flying over Lebanon overnight broke the sound barrier and Lebanese media reported that some Israeli jets had breached Lebanese airspace.

China agrees more U.N. actions needed against North Korea after nuclear test

South Korean marines take part in a military exercise on South Korea's Baengnyeong Island, near the disputed sea border with the north, September 7, 2017. Choi Jae-gu/Yonhap via REUTERS

Christian ShepherdKatya Golubkova-SEPTEMBER 6, 2017

BEIJING/VLADIVOSTOK, Russia (Reuters) - China said on Thursday it agreed the United Nations should take more action against North Korea after its latest nuclear test, while pushing for more dialogue to resolve the crisis on the Korean peninsula.

North Korea said it would respond to any U.N. sanctions and U.S. pressure with “powerful counter measures”, accusing the United States of aiming to start a war.

The United States wants the U.N. Security Council to impose an oil embargo on North Korea, ban its exports of textiles and the hiring of North Korean labourers abroad, and to subject leader Kim Jong Un to an asset freeze and travel ban, according to a draft resolution seen by Reuters on Wednesday.

Pressure from Washington has ratcheted up since North Korea conducted its sixth and largest nuclear test on Sunday. That test, along with a series of missile launches, showed it was close to achieving its goal of developing a powerful nuclear weapon that could reach the United States.

“We will respond to the barbaric plotting around sanctions and pressure by the United States with powerful counter measures of our own,” North Korea said in a statement by its delegation to an economic forum in Vladivostok, in Russia’s Far East.

U.S. President Donald Trump has urged China to do more to rein in its neighbour, which has pursued its weapons programmes in defiance of U.N. sanctions and international condemnation.

“Given the new developments on the Korean peninsula, China agrees that the U.N. Security Council should make a further response and take necessary measures,” Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told reporters on Thursday, without elaborating.

“Any new actions taken by the international community against the DPRK should serve the purpose of curbing the DPRK’s nuclear and missile programmes, while at the same time be conducive to restarting dialogue and consultation,” he said, referring to North Korea by the initials of its official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

China is by far North Korea’s biggest trading partner, accounting for 92 percent of two-way trade last year. It also provides hundreds of thousands of tonnes of oil and fuel to the impoverished regime.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said he had an executive order ready for Trump to sign that would impose sanctions on any country that trades with North Korea, if the United Nations does not put impose new sanctions on it.

THAAD DEPLOYMENT

Amid the rising tension, South Korea installed the four remaining launchers of a U.S. anti-missile Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system on a former golf course south of its capital, Seoul, early on Thursday. Two launchers had already been deployed.

More than 30 people were hurt when about 8,000 police broke up a blockade near the site by about 300 villagers and members of civic groups opposed to the THAAD deployment, fire officials said.

South Korean marines take part in a military exercise on South Korea's Baengnyeong Island, near the disputed sea border with the north, in this handout picture provided by South Korean Marine Corps and released by Yonhap, September 7, 2017. South Korean Marine Corps/Yonhap via REUTERS

The decision to deploy it has drawn strong objections from China, which believes the system’s radar could be used to look deeply into its territory and will upset the regional security balance.

China lodged another stern protest over the THAAD deployment on Thursday.

“We again urge South Korea and the United States to take seriously China’s and regional nations’ security interests and concerns, stop the relevant deployment progress, and remove the relevant equipment,” Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told a regular media briefing.

‘DIRTY POLITICS’

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and South Korean President Moon Jae-in spoke at the regional meeting in Vladivostok and agreed to try to persuade China and Russia to cut off oil to North Korea as much as possible, according to South Korean officials.

North Korea accused South Korea and Japan of “dirty politics” for what it said was the highjacking a meeting meant to be about economic development.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said at the meeting he thought the North Korea crisis would not escalate into nuclear war, predicting that common sense would prevail.

But he said he believed North Korea’s leadership feared that any freeze of its nuclear programme would be followed by what amounted to “an invitation to the cemetery”.
North Korea says it needs its weapons to protect itself from U.S. aggression.

South Korea and the United States are technically still at war with North Korea after the 1950-53 Korean conflict ended with a truce, not a peace treaty.

China and Russia have advocated a “freeze for freeze” plan, under which the United States and South Korea would stop major military exercises in exchange for North Korea halting its weapons programmes.

But neither side appears willing to budge.

South Korean Marines wrapped up a three-day firing drill aimed at protecting its islands just south of the border with North Korea, while the air force will finish up a week-long drill on Friday.


Additional reporting by Christine Kim and Soyoung Kim in SEOUL, Christian Shepherd and Vincent Lee in BEIJING, Oksana Kobzeva and Denis Pinchuk in VLADIVOSTOK, Steve Holland, Eric Walsh, Jeff Mason and Jim Oliphant in WASHINGTON; Writing by Lincoln Feast; Editing by Paul Tait, Robert Birsel
Trump is exposing the big lie at the core of Trumpism

By canceling DACA, President Trump is attempting to endear himself to his shrinking base, says Washington Post columnist Jennifer Rubin. He knows the only thing that truly "energizes the dead-enders is vengeance fueled by white grievance." (Adriana Usero, Kate Woodsome/The Washington Post)

THE MORNING PLUM:

 

It could not be more fitting that only 24 hours after scrapping protections for 800,000 young immigrants brought here illegally as children, President Trump is set to deliver a big speech extolling the need to cut taxes for the wealthy and corporations. The juxtaposition captures the massive lie at the very heart of Trumpism as perfectly as anyone could ask for.

Two of Trump’s new tweets neatly bracket this big lie. In one tweet, Trump announced he will give a speech today in North Dakota calling for “tax reform and tax cuts,” arguing that “we are the highest taxed nation in the world.” This is itself a repeatedly debunked falsehood that Trump employs to push an agenda in tune with the trickle-down GOP economic orthodoxy he used as a foil during a campaign in which he portrayed himself as an economic populist.

In the other tweet, Trump asserted that Congress has six months to act to protect the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals “dreamers” via legislation and hinted that if Congress fails, he might renew the executive protections he just rescinded. But Trump has not told us what legislation along these lines he’d be willing to sign. There’s a reason for all this vagueness: Trump cannot come out squarely for protecting the dreamers, because that would reveal another side of his alleged economic populism — the demagoguing about immigrants threatening U.S. workers — to be hollow.

Two Republican senators have aptly called out Trump on this point. The Post reports that Trump’s call for Congress to protect the dreamers has thrown Republicans into “chaos,” partly because nobody knows what Trump wants from such legislation. Lindsey O. Graham (S.C.) urges Trump to show “where your heart’s at” on the dreamers. Marco Rubio (Fla.) adds that Trump “needs to show what he’s willing to support.”

Trump needs to decide what he really wants for the dreamers. He is widely being described as “conflicted” on their fate: We are told that he empathizes with their plight — he says he has “great heart” for them — but that he felt pressure to end DACA because the immigration hard-liners insisted he must deliver for his base.

But let’s be clear on what this conflict is really about. Trump isn’t wrestling with a dilemma made difficult by two valid competing moral imperatives. He’s torn between (on one side) the reality of what it actually means to scrap protections for hundreds of thousands of people who know no other country, are thoroughly American and just want to contribute positively to American life; and (on the other) the need to continue propping up his campaign lies about how deporting these people will boost American workers. The conflict is between the inescapably awful truth about the real-life consequences of ending DACA and the imagined need to continue making empty gestures to his core supporters.

Consider that in announcing an end to DACA, Attorney General Jeff Sessions, who was tasked with delivering the message Trump would not, claimed that the presence of these “illegal aliens,” as he described the dreamers, “denied jobs to hundreds of thousands of Americans.” As Paul Krugman explains, the idea that the dreamers constitute an economic threat is nonsense on multiple levels. But reality aside, if Trump believes this, then how can he be calling for legislation that would make their presence in this country — and their alleged theft of U.S. jobs — permanent?

Thus, Trump cannot flatly say he will sign legislation protecting dreamers without revealing that whole story line to be a sham. Instead, Trump will insist that any solution for the dreamers come packaged with either tighter immigration restrictions or spending on his U.S.-Mexico wall or on other border security measures to prop up the fiction that he is fighting for U.S. workers by protecting them from the swarthy invaders who have been scapegoated for the workers’ complex, multicausal economic woes. And that may end up meaning that no solution for the dreamers is reached, leading to untold numbers of them being deported or driven underground.

Trump campaigned on an agenda of economic populism that included not just the promise of an immigration crackdown, but also massive infrastructure spending, revamped trade deals, a protected safety net and a confrontation of elites while getting the wealthy to pay more. The first two addendums are nowhere in sight, and Trump sold out the third with his failed health plan. But the anti-immigrant hostility is shaping policy in a major way: Joe Arpaio has been pardoned, and now the dreamers may join the ranks of those getting caught up in Trump’s mass-deportation dragnet. It is perfect that Trump will cap this whole episode with a speech calling for tax cuts that will inevitablylavish their largest benefits on the rich.

* NOT EVEN TRUMP VOTERS WANT THE DREAMERS DEPORTED:new Morning Consult poll finds that 58 percent of Americans think the dreamers should be allowed to stay and become citizens, and another 18 percent say they should be legalized. Only 15 percent favor removing them. And:
The same holds true for Trump’s electoral base. Two-thirds of self-identified Trump voters think the Dreamers should stay; only 26 percent think they should be deported.
It turns out that even Trump’s base doesn’t want to see dreamers’ protections scrapped. As noted above, this is really nothing more than an empty gesture at this point, albeit one with enormous humanitarian consequences.

* DREAMERS BRACE FOR POSSIBLE DEPORTATION: The New York Times talks to a number of dreamers who have suddenly learned that their lives could be upended in six months. Note this, from Safir Wazed, a Bangladesh-born graduate student raised in California:
Since receiving DACA status, Mr. Wazed, 27, has held a job and bought a car and a condominium. He is now a graduate student at the University of Southern California. “Am I supposed to plan to reset my life in six months?” he asked. “This isn’t over,” Mr. Wazed said, “and we’re not going to be pushed out of our country in six months.”
And it is their country. Many know no other. As the Times notes, “after five years of living legally in the United States,” they are “fully integrated into American colleges, workplaces and civic life.”
* WILL DREAMERS GO BACK INTO HIDING? The Post also has some compelling reporting on the fear and uncertainty that grips the dreamers. This is suggestive:
Fatima Coreas, 24, said Obama’s program allowed her to go to college and buy a car. She urged dreamers not to go back into hiding. “All those 800,000 people should be open about their stories,” Coreas said. “We should come out and tell our stories for the American people to hear so they know we’re no less American than anyone else.”
It is worth remembering that once their DACA status expires, all these people will suddenly feel pressure to retreat into the shadows after having been able to participate openly in American life.
* REPUBLICAN SAYS HOUSE CAN PASS SOMETHING FOR DREAMERS: Some Republicans are already insisting that legislation for the dreamers can’t pass without concessions from Dems. But GOP Rep. Charlie Dent of Pennsylvania begs to differ:
“I believe the votes are there to pass some kind of a DACA program in the House. I’m not saying a majority of the majority, but there are 218 votes.”
In other words, yes, something like this could pass with mostly Democrats and a few moderate Republicans. The question is whether GOP leaders would allow it to come to a vote.
* REPUBLICANS DEMAND CONCESSIONS FOR DOING RIGHT THING: HuffPost raises a good point, noting that Republicans say they want to do something to protect the dreamers while simultaneously demanding concessions for it:
Republicans are already placing conditions on their support that could kill the effort entirely. They are willing to vote for protecting so-called “Dreamers” ― but not without getting something in exchange for it. “Hopefully there will be some give and take and we can accomplish something,” Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) said, suggesting Democrats could support efforts to boost border security.
Translation: If you don’t give us concessions, we will not do the thing that we want credit for saying is the right thing to do.
* DEMS PLAN BIG NEW PUSH ON STATE LEVEL: Politico reports that top Democrats have created a new PAC called Forward Majority that will pour money into state legislative races with the goal of influencing the next round of redistricting in the 2020s for the House of Representatives:
Warning that Democrats risk falling into a massive electoral hole until at least the post-2030 redistricting round if they don’t act now to take legislatures, the group intends to focus on states that are the most gerrymandered. It will target its investments to where winning chambers would be most efficient and where controlling them could have the biggest effect on gaining seats in the U.S. House.
Good news. Democrats were caught badly flat-footed by the GOP rout on the state level in 2010, helping lead to a GOP hammerlock on the House. And we’re still dealing with the consequences.
* AND WHITE CHRISTIANS ARE A MINORITY: A new Public Religion Research Institute poll finds that white Christians account for fewer than half of American adults. PRRI director Robert Jones documents a similar decline among white evangelicals and explains their support for Trump:
Thinking about the white evangelical/Trump alliance as an end-of-life bargain is illuminating. It helps explain, for example, how white evangelical leaders could ignore so many problematic aspects of Trump’s character. … White evangelicals have clearly seen Trump’s presidency as a possible way to stave off changes that would constitute the real end of an era where their cultural worldview held sway.

Jones’s whole piece is worth reading as a window into what’s going on with a very important component of Trump’s base.