Peace for the World

Peace for the World
First democratic leader of Justice the Godfather of the Sri Lankan Tamil Struggle: Honourable Samuel James Veluppillai Chelvanayakam

Sunday, September 18, 2016

Free Khurram Parvez: An Open Letter to Civil Society

curfew_Kashmir

( September 18, 2016, New Delhi, Sri Lanka Guardian) We, the undersigned, call for the immediate release of Khurram Parvez, a distinguished and courageous human rights defender, and write in support of the enclosed statements issued by Advocate Parvez Imroz (please see overleaf).

As we write this, Khurram Parvez has been remanded to preventive custody in a sub-jail in the highly militarized Kupwara District of Kashmir. He is expected to be produced before the court on 21 September 2016.

Making of a President

2016-09-19
'The author of Making of the President, Theodore White unites a novelist's knack of dramatization and a historian's sense of significance with a synthesizing skill that grasps the reader by the lapels.'
The third book in Theodore H. White's landmark series, The Making of the President gives a compelling account of the turbulent 1968 presidential campaign, the assassinations of Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King, Jr., and election of Richard Nixon. White made history with his groundbreaking The Making of the President 1960, a narrative that won the Pulitzer Prize for revolutionizing the way that presidential campaigns were reported.
Absorbing narration
Malith Jayathilaka's Ma Dutu Janavari 8 is an equally absorbing narration of the cloak and dagger style search for a common candidate and the victory of that candidate at the 8 January 2015 Presidential election and the 'Newsweek' accolade of Theodore H. White fits Jayathilaka's knack for dramatization, skills and sense and the ability to 'grasp the reader by the lapels'.
Malith, in his dramatic style, reveals many insides in the search for a common candidate. The major roles played by Ven. Maduluwawe Sobhitha Thera, Chandrika Kumaratunga, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Ven. Athuraliye Rathana Thera, Dr. Rajitha Senaratne and his son, Chathura, Champika Ranawaka, Shiral Laktilake and last but not the least Maithripala Sirisena have been vividly described by the author.
The book brings out the fact that although there was a rapidly growing resentment against the style of governance adopted by Mahinda Rajapaksa during his second term starting in 2010, the campaign to search for a winnable common candidate had begun only after Malith showed, with convincing and authentic facts and figures, calculations and surveys, that Rajapaksa could be defeated in an election. However, the initial aim and objective of Malith's presentation was to prevent Rajapaksa from holding a premature election in which he could face defeat.
Rajapaksa facing defeat
While several ministers, including Dullas Alahapperuma, Anura Priyadarshana Yapa, Champika Ranawaka and Susil Premajayantha realized that there was a possibility of Rajapaksa facing defeat, Mahinda Rajapaksa and his closest advisers headed by Basil and Gotabaya dismissed it as utter nonsense.
According to Malith, some persons close to Rajapaksa tried to show Malith as a villain who was trying to bring down the regime. The books also reveals many conversations taken place at Temple Trees and other places between Rajapaksa and various ministers, supporters and some of the disgruntled ministers.
Initial campaign of Ven. Maduluwawe Sobhitha Thera was to get Karu Jayasuriya to be the common candidate. However, the secret consultations began with some of the government heavyweights too to feel their pulse. According to Malith most of the senior SLFP leaders were unhappy with Basil, Gotabaya and other members of the kitchen cabinet that sidelined top SLFP ministers. He reveals many a conversation between the SLFP leaders who were thinking of an alternative. But most of them were scared to air their views in public.
Exchange of views
The plot began to take place gradually and in July 2013. There was many an exchange of views between Maithripala and Rajitha and later with others. On one occasion, during a wedding, while Mahinda and Gotabaya were sitting on the same table, a conspiratory conversation took place. The Rajapaksa brothers could not hear the discussion because of the loud music in the wedding hall.
"The discussions between Maithripala and Ven. Rathana were not disclosed to Champika. Similarly, talks between Maithripala and Champika were not known to Rajitha. Then Chandrika too started talks with Maithripala but they were also kept away from others," Malith says stressing the high degree of secrecy.
Chandrika played a major role in convincing Ranil about the need for accepting Maithripala as the common candidate. Ranil was facing a dilemma.
He wanted to topple the Rajapaksa regime,but he knew the UNP was not in a position to achieve that objective. At the same time, no common candidate could win without wholehearted support of the UNP. Will the UNP get a fair share in the government after the victory of the common candidate? Ranil wanted an answer for this million dollar question.
Chandrika's answer
"Can Maithripala be trusted," Ranil asked Chandrika when the name of Maithripala was finally proposed. "If you trust me, please trust him," was Chandrika's answer to settle the issue.
In the final chapter, Malith refers to those who feel disappointed about the slow progress under the new government. Maithripala replied to that at the book launch. "What would have happened to our country if the 8 January transformation had not occurred?" Addressing the function in Colombo on Wednesday, 14 September Maithripala Sirisena posed this question to those who criticize him and the government.
Giving reasons for his resignation from Rajapaksa government, he said, "By mid-2013, we were preparing for the elections. The then government appointed committees to make primary preparations for this. However, as a minister I was not included in any of those committees. Those were secretive committees and included persons from the Presidential Secretariat and external organizations. As they governed the country excluding the ministers, they attempted to organize an election."
Commended
President Sirisena said the true facts on 8 January transformation were still hidden. He commended the attempt taken by Malith Jayathilaka to report such facts without any fear.
The President said all those who know the facts regarding the transformation that took place on 8 January have an understanding how complex and how far it has to be studied. Hence, it is necessary for them to talk openly about that pure transformation of 8 January and today it is very important to speak regarding that transformation by persons who were involved to make that change.
Most of the SLFP seniors, who were sidelined during the Rajapaksa regime, are now with Maithripala. As Shiral Lakthilaka, another prime mover behind the campaign for an acceptable common candidate, said at the launch of Malith's book, when reading the final chapter, the message between the lines is very clear. For the success of consensual government of good governance and for strengthening democracy, the continuation of the unity government is very important. While the UNP must consolidate its power base under the able leadership of Ranil Wickremesinghe, the SLFP too must be rejuvenated under the party President Maithripala Sirisena and such a scenario would ensure a healthy power sharing to take the nation forward.

'After all, Oceans engendered life in the first place' -Mangala represents Sri Lanka at the 'Our Ocean' Conference 2016 (Video)


LEN logo(Lanka-e-News- 17.Sep.2016, 11.00PM) Participating at the Our Ocean Conference 2016, at the invitation of the US Secretary of State John Kerry, Foreign Minister Mangala Samaraweera, on 15 September,  outlined several commitments by Sri Lanka to protect oceans around Sri Lanka and beyond.
The Minister said that Sri Lanka is perhaps one of the few countries in the world where the Head of State himself holds the portfolio of Environment, given its vital importance for the country and to ensure that Sri Lanka plays its part in dealing with issues relating to climate change and environment in a responsible manner, both locally and in a global context. 
The Conference being held at the US State Department on 15-16 September is attended by representatives of approximately 100 countries including Heads of State and Government, Ministers, officials, academia, NGO community, leaders from the public and private sector and young people.
This was the third in the series of Conferences on Our Ocean, held with the objective of calling the world’s attention to the challenge of protecting oceans and mobilizing countries to make commitments in this respect. 
The Conference which was inaugurated by the US Secretary of State was addressed by the US President Barack Obama as well.
Foreign Minister Samaraweera joined a panel of speakers at the Conference, comprising the Presidents of Micronesia and Mauritius, Vice President of Panama, and Ministers of Foreign Affairs of The Bahamas and Madagascar on the theme ‘Global Ocean Leadership’, moderated by US Senator Brian Schatz from Hawaii.
Outlining commitments made by Sri Lanka under the themes – Marine Protected Areas, Marine Pollution, Sustainable Fisheries, and Climate and Ocean, the Minister called for the discontinuation and banning of all fishing methods that harm marine eco-systems, worldwide, in particular, bottom trawling.
The full text of the statement made by Minister Samaraweera as follows
Ladies and Gentlemen,
I represent an island nation known as the ‘Pearl of the Indian Ocean’.
Located right in the middle of the Indian Ocean, half way between east and west; 1340 km of coastline; warm waters that are home to the world’s largest marine mammals – the unique Sri Lankan blue whales who are in fact ‘ecosystem engineers’ that help maintain the health and stability of our Oceans.
Being an Island nation, we are acutely aware of how much our very life is dependent on the good health of the waters that surround us – the food that we eat; the air that we breathe; the weather; threat of temperature rising and ocean waters invading our land.
It has been passed down to us from generation to generation, that if we don’t take care of the Ocean around us, and we allow our Ocean to become unhealthy and out of balance, that will lead to the eventual end of life as we know it, on the land that we occupy. After all, Oceans engendered life in the first place.
Yet, no matter however much we become aware of the risks and the dangers, it is only in coming together like this, that meaningful action can be taken to address concerns as important as the health of our Oceans, and our Planet, that affect us all.
I thank Secretary Kerry therefore, for his leadership in bringing countries across the world, together, to take action on caring for Our Oceans.
Sri Lanka is perhaps one of the few countries in the world where the Head of State himself holds the portfolio of Environment, given its vital importance for our country, and to ensure that we play our part in a responsible manner on issues of Climate Change and Environment in a global context.
Amongst the different ecosystems in Sri Lanka, mangroves represent a unique collection of specialized fauna and flora adapted to survive in brackish water conditions and in inter-tidal zones.
We are in the process of drafting a National Policy for Conservation and the Sustainable Utilization of Mangrove Ecosystems.
In July this year, to mark International Mangrove Day, President Maithripala Sirisena inaugurated the world’s first mangrove museum in Sri Lanka. The President has also given leadership in declaring a ‘National Coastal and Marine Resources Conservation Week’ to be observed in September every year. The first observance will take place from the 17th to the 23rd of this month.   
Sri Lanka has already declared 9 Marine Protected Areas in various parts of the country.
In addition, four new areas providing habitats for marine mammals, coral, migratory and shore birds, and other marine life will also be declared as Marine Protected Areas, shortly. 
By the end of this year, we will complete the construction of a sea turtle conservation complex to treat and provide a sanctuary for injured turtles and educate and create awareness among the local communities.
The Sea Mammals Regulations of Sri Lanka will be reviewed and amended.
A third of our country’s population lives along the coastal belt. As such, new activities to protect these communities and assess the impact of sea-level rise and climate change will be introduced.
We pledge to implement and improve the National Oil Spill Contingency Plan that will delineate responsibilities for the operational response to oil spills, and increase cooperation across sectors to coordinate and integrate their resources to respond effectively.
Arrangements are presently underway to hold the ‘Sri Lanka NEXT – Blue Green Era conference’ in Colombo, with the goal of promoting sustainable development through blue-green economic initiatives. This conference will take place in parallel with the 5th Asia Pacific Climate Change Adaptation Forum next month.
It is in our interest to secure and ensure sustainable fishing in the country.  We will conduct a survey of fish resources and establish a robust fisheries information system by 2018; introduce environmentally friendly fishing gear; prohibit destructive fishing gear; and introduce an effective fisheries management system through vessel monitoring and enforcement of relevant laws.
Sri Lanka is committed to combat IUU fishing. In recognition of the positive steps taken by Sri Lanka in addressing issues related to IUU fishing, the European Council, in June this year, lifted a ban imposed on the export of fisheries products from Sri Lanka.
I want to take this opportunity to call for the discontinuation and banning of all fishing methods that harm marine eco-systems, worldwide, in particular, bottom trawling 
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by     (2016-09-17 18:49:22)

Getting After The “Second Echelon”


Colombo Telegraph
By Emil van der Poorten –September 18, 2016
Emil van der Poorten
Emil van der Poorten
I have, in the past, made reference to the need NOT to neglect the hangers-on and “hit-men” employed by the forces of darkness that imposed their hegemony on this country for far too long.
A recent attempt by Hirunika Premachandra to have the doctor who, she alleges, significantly delayed the delivery of justice in her father’s murder by issuing a false medical certificate investigated and brought to justice brings this factor to the surface again in quite dramatic fashion. In passing, I’d like to remind readers of who was not only the Minister that Duminda was “monitoring” at the time but the most powerful member of the MR 1 (Mahinda Rajapaksa) brigade who was the first functionary to visit Mr. Silva at the Sri Lankan hospital from which he was whisked off to Singapore for an extended medically-monitored holiday in that city state at our expense.
The allegation is that a medical certificate, falsely describing Duminda Silva’s injuries as being life-threatening and which were going to leave him a walking vegetable, was used to whisk him away from the country and kept beyond the reach of Sri Lankan law, is serious indeed. However, the attempt to create a serious miscarriage of justice is not without precedent during that period and there are senior members of what were, it now turns out, euphemistically referred to as the forces of law and order that participated in DELIBERATE efforts to ensure miscarriages of justice and those accused of capital crimes walking free.
Already, in the Thajudeen case, it is becoming increasingly evident that justice delayed is going to be justice denied and the perpetrators of one of the most heinous high-profile murders in our history with the most sordid of overtones are going to walk away, scot-free, from their crime.
NAIL THEM AND NAIL THEM NOW BEFORE THEY HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO KILL MORE WITNESSES AND DESTROY MORE EVIDENCE.
There is no choice for this government but to ensure that this is not just the continuation of a whole series of travesties of criminal law emanating from the largest barbeque in the world where scads of high profile individuals are summoned before some entity whose acronym is longer than the names of most organizations, “grilled” (and re-“grilled”) and then set free to ensure that they do not make the same mistake that led them to a period of minor discomfiture before some glorified “investigatory committee” or other that might or might not ”grill” them again.
Simply put, what has been going on is a monumental disgrace and has to be brought to a stop.
Some of us, when this Ohey Palayang government came into power insisted that, given the extent of corruption and the number of monumentally corrupt, there was need of a plethora of tribunals staffed by legally competent people to begin clearing the Augean Stables. It is damned cold comfort that we were proved dead right and this charade, parading as the practice of some kind of formal justice system continues without cease, the excuse being trotted out that the system inherited was riddled with corruption and peopled with the corrupt. Even though it might be repetitious let me say that many of us warned PRECISELY of this happening if there was foot-dragging in the process of investigation and punishment?

US lobbyist hired during Rajapaksa era escapes punishment

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( September 18, 2016, Colombo, Sri Lanka Guardian) A further insight into how foreign lobbying firms work and those who operate for them purely for the lure of money is given in the US website Free Beacon.

The revelation in this website is an eye opener for those who extol the virtues of private lobbying firms and discount the role of Sri Lanka diplomatic missions overseas, spending valuable foreign exchange in the process.

A top bundler for Hillary Clinton and President Barack Obama was never punished for waiting months to register his work on behalf of a foreign government, a delay that violated the Foreign Agents Registration Act, says the website.

Here is its account: “Imaad Zuberi, a venture capitalist and high-dollar Democratic fundraiser, raked in millions of dollars working on behalf of the government of Sri Lanka and its central bank over the course of five months in 2014.

“Zuberi was paid $4.5 million by the Sri Lankan government throughout the life of the contract, while an additional $2 million went to a company associated with him at the time. Zuberi’s activities were not disclosed to the Justice Department’s Foreign Agents Registration (FARA) Unit within the time period required by law.

“FARA requires anyone who acts as an agent for foreign principals “in a political or quasi-political capacity” to periodically update the Justice Department on the work they are performing. Foreign agents must also submit receipts and disbursements in relation to the work they perform. A new registrant who has taken on a foreign client must make the relationship known to the Justice Department within 10 days of signing a contract with the foreign entity.

“Zuberi did not disclose his relationship with the Sri Lankan government within the 10-day time frame, only disclosing the relationship months after first receiving payments and just weeks before the end of the contract. “Zuberi first received a $3.5 million payment from the Sri Lankan government on May 9, 2014. The contract stipulated that Zuberi would be given $1 million per month for his representation between June and October of 2014.

“The relationship between Zuberi and Sri Lanka ended in September 2014, according to the documents. Zuberi did not submit a short-form registration statement to the Justice Department until August 14, 2014—more than three months after he had first received a payment from the Sri Lankan government. By the end of the contract, Zuberi had been paid $4.5 million for his work by Sri Lanka.

“Zuberi lists the California-based company Beltway Government Strategies, Inc. on his initial short-form registration document as the primary registrant address. Beltway Government Strategies registered with FARA on June 2, 2014. The company was incorporated on May 23, 2014, shortly before the group’s registration was filed with the Justice Department, and makes no reference to Zuberi on the company’s initial registration.

“Zuberi gave Beltway Government Strategies hundreds of thousands for “public affairs consulting,” the disclosures show. Beltway Government Strategies has been suspended and is no longer in operation, according to California Explore.

“A group associated with Zuberi at the time, called the WR Group, did not register with FARA until September 15, 2014. The Sri Lankan government paid the WR Group an additional $2 million, bringing the total amount of money paid throughout the contract to $6.5 million.

“Sri Lanka also paid $115,000 for Zuberi and his associates’ trips. That sum included the cost of flights, hotels, ground transportation, food, and related travel expenses, according to the filings.
“The contract with Sri Lanka was terminated on September 30, 2014.

“An agent must register within ten days of agreeing to become an agent and before performing any activities for the foreign principal,” FARA’s enforcement section states. “No person shall act as an agent of a foreign principal unless he/she has filed with the Attorney General a true and complete registration statement and supplements. Unless he/she is exempt from registration under the provisions of this Act.”

“Failure to file the proper documentation carries a fine of up to $10,000 or a maximum of five years in prison.
“Zuberi is a major Democratic donor, bundling $685,000 for President Obama between 2007 and 2012. Zuberi was a co-chair on Obama’s National Finance Committee and served on the board of directors of Organising for Action, a nonprofit that pushes Obama’s agenda.

“Zuberi is now a top bundler for Hillary Clinton, pulling in more than $100,000 for the Democratic nominee, earning him a spot on Clinton’s National Finance Committee. He has also donated between $250,000 and $500,000 to the Clinton Foundation. Zuberi was tapped to be a member of Clinton’s Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders Leadership Council in January.

“Zuberi was potentially linked to a Justice Department probe involving the Sri Lankan government, Foreign Policy reported last year.

“FARA has faced scrutiny in recent weeks following the release of a report from the Justice Department’s inspector general that revealed few are punished under the statute despite rampant abuse by those who fall under its auspices.

“The inspector general’s report found that the 63 percent of the registration forms of new registrants had not been submitted to FARA on time. The report also found that half of filers were late in filing required updates about their activities on behalf of foreign clients, Politico reported.

“The agency has also failed to enforce the rules when foreign agents have been caught taking liberties with their disclosure forms, according to the inspector general, which said the department lacks an all-encompassing strategy for enforcement. The agency instead has a tendency to bring foreign agents who are in violation of the law into compliance rather than taking action against them.

“The Justice Department’s FARA unit did not respond to inquiries from the Washington Free Beacon. Zuberi did not return an e-mail seeking comment.”

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Malith Jayathilake presenting the book to President Maithripala Sirisena 
Architects of 8 January revolution are speaking out

Monday, 19 September 2016
logountitled-2Those who were behind the scene leading to the bloodless revolution of 8 January have started to speak out one by one. First, it was Asoka Abeygunawardana, electrical engineer and social activist, who spoke out first by publishing a book in Sinhala titled ‘Yuga Peraliya’ which was later translated into English as ‘The Revolution of the Era’. A review of the book is available at http://arjunareflections.blogspot.com/2015/03/review-of-revolution-of-era-by-asoka.html). 


Avoiding Superstitious Cures, Defeating Dictatorial Solutions




Photo courtesy OnLanka

TISARANEE GUNASEKARA on 09/18/2016

Sri Lanka, despite her soaring developmental ambitions, spends less than 1% of her national budget on research and development, an anomaly which was highlighted at the recently concluded symposium, Science and Technology for Society Sri Lanka 2016. Addressing the gathering, Prof. Ajith de Alwis, warned that “Sri Lanka is paying a heavy price in overlooking science in decision making.”[i]
And this symposium on science began with a two minute video on religious observances, a piece of tragicomedy symbolic and symbiotic of Sri Lanka’s dangerous romance with politicised religion and her willing embrace of superstition.

The Buddha in Samaññaphala Sutta categorised astrology, demonology et al as ‘animal arts’[ii](The extensive list mentioned in the Sutta includes palmistry, reading omens and signs, interpreting celestial events and dreams, making predictions for state officials, chasing demons, casting auspicious times, predicting life spans, forecasting political or natural events and casting horoscopes). But in Sri Lanka, said to be repository of the Buddha’s teachings in their purest form, Sinhala-Buddhists treat astrological predictions with the reverence that adherents of theistic faiths accord to the words of their particular god or prophet.

In the second decade of the twenty first century, it is not uncommon to hear of pious Sinhala-Buddhists dying because they threw ordinary commonsense to the four winds and obeyed the orders of an astrologer, an exorcist or some other practitioner of ‘animal arts’. The latest such example comes not from a rural backwater, but from the urbanised Piliyandala, a town close to Colombo. An artist died after drinking a concoction given to him by an exorcist as a cure for a skin ailment[iii].

The exorcist has been arrested. It is to be hoped that he will be charged formally and tried in a court of law. Perhaps the publicity garnered by such a trial would make at least some Lankans – including the country’s current leaders – understand the idiocy of trusting one’s future and one’s life to dabblers in ‘animal arts’.

Most Lankan leaders were slavish believers of stars and their untutored interpreters; but none of them went as far to use state power and resources to reward or persecute astrologers as the Rajapaksas did. Astrology always played a prominent role in the private lives of most people including most politicians. But under Rajapaksa rule, astrology was accorded a prominent place in the public sphere as well.

Not only did astrology play a prominent role in persuading Mahinda Rajapaksa to hold a presidential election two years ahead of time. Everything he did during that election, from the moment he handed over his nomination papers to the Election Commissioner from an auspicious side, was dictated to a large extent on the advice of astrologers. During the election campaign, astrologers played the part which is accorded to opinion polling and statistical analyses in less superstitious countries. The state television, for instance, aired many election forecast programmes featuring astrologers, an execrable practice the private TV stations were quick to follow.

One of the most satisfactory outcomes of the defeat of the Rajapaksas was the relegation of astrology from the public to the private sphere.

Recent media reports indicate that the Sirisena-Wickremesinghe administration might have taken a step back to that silly past.

Past in the Present

The Rajapaksas made history when they got an astrologer arrested for making a prediction which did not fit in with their agenda. Chandrasiri Bandara, an astrologer known for his pro-opposition views, made an unfavourable prediction, the regime reacted with ferocity. Mr. Bandara was arrested, taken to the CID and grilled.

This unprecedented act of repression had its desired effect, in the short term. Mr. Bandara came out of custody in the safe guise of a born-again Rajapaksa man. During the run up to 2015 Presidential election Mr. Bandara predicted a resounding Rajapaksa victory and pledged to shoot himself if proven wrong – on live TV.

Vijitha Rohana Wijemuni, an astrologer known for his anti-government views, has been summoned to the CID over a prediction he made about the future of President Maithripala Sirisena. (According to his Wikipedia page, Mr. Wijemuni rose to national prominence as the naval rating who hit Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi with his bayonet. He subsequently contested elections from Sihala Urumaya)[iv].
While violent crimes are rampant, the Criminal Investigations Department is busy chasing astrologers – because political leaders still regard the prattling of astrologers as truth and nothing but the truth.
Fortunately 2016 is not 2009. The current government is not immune to superstitious cures or dictatorial solutions. But thanks to changes of post-January 2015, the space for such cures and solutions has shrunk.

In 2009, the astrologer was arrested and grilled. In 2016, the astrologer informed the CID that he has already given one statement, has no intention of giving another and will complain to the Human Rights Commission if harassed any further.

In 2009, the astrologer came out of custody with his political sympathies changed from anti-Rajapaksa to slavishly pro-Rajapaksa. In 2016, the astrologer has not changed his political colour or deleted the video which drove the CID out of its collective senses.

That difference is due to the democratic transformation brought about by the regime change of January 2015.

Sri Lanka is not a paradise of good governance. But it is indubitably a better place for its people today than it was under the Rajapaksas.

In 2013, Sri Lanka was one of the saddest places on earth, according to the (UN-sponsored) World Happiness Report. Of the 156 countries rated, Sri Lanka ranks 137.

By 2016, Sri Lanka’s rank has improved to 117[v].

A long way more to go, but the direction is the right one; more advances are possible, unless economics intervene.

The Rajapaksas placed absolute faith on superstition and none on science. That is why they paid no attention to one of the earliest warning signs about growing discontent in their own electoral base.
As the CPA’s Top line survey revealed, in 2011, a mammoth 70% of Sinhalese thought that the general economic situation will get better in the next two years. In 2013 only 38.5% of Sinhalese thought that the general economic situation will improve in the next two years – a decrease of 45%, in just two years.
Had the Rajapaksas heeded such findings instead of clinging to astrological predictions, they may not have lost in 2015.

The current government can launch any amount of propaganda blitzes about the necessity of the VAT bill; it can scream to high heavens declaring that the VAT increases will not affect ordinary people. But people will feel the pinch, when they make a purchase, take a call or channel a doctor.

And they will begin to lose hope, as they did between 2011 and 2013.

This government can make its share of mistake and survive. But if it repeats the mistakes of the Rajapaksas as well, the future will be like the past we escaped from in January 2015.

Take two steps forward and one step back, you can still head to the future. Take one step forward and two steps back, the past will be the unavoidable destination.

Staying the Course

In the same week pollster Nate Silver warned about a dangerous decline in Hillary Clinton’s once massive lead against Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders started to campaign in earnest for his recent rival. Mr. Sanders is no more a fan of Hillary Clinton now than he was during the democratic primaries, but he knows that ensuring a Clinton victory is the only way to ensure a Trump defeat. This is not the election to waste one’s vote on a third party candidate or stay at home, Mr. Sanders told his sceptical supporters; the only option is to mobilise, to defeat Donald Trump and push Hillary Clinton into becoming the best president she can[vi].

In 2015, we in Sri Lanka defeated our version of the Trump clan.

We didn’t get rid of corruption and nepotism and all the other horrendous practices which flourished under the Rajapaksas. But we have better governance than we did during the Rajapaksa years.
Take the constitutional making process, which is more open and more inclusive than anything Sri Lanka has previously experienced. Be it new constitutions or amendments to existing one, every past effort had been top-down ones where leaders decided what should be done and imposed their decisions on the people. In stark and commendable contrast, the new government is encouraging a broad public discussion about the nature of the new constitution.

This new openness has brought into the open issues which had languished in the outer darkness despite their seminal importance. One such case is secularism. The arguments made by Ceylon Rationalist Association in its 1970 memorandum to Minister Colvin R de Silva for a secular democratic constitution are even more relevant today than they were then[vii]. Incidentally, the provision giving Buddhism the preeminent place was a fairly recent addition, introduced in 1972 and reinforced in 1978. There was no such provision in the constitution until then, and Buddhism not just survived but also thrived despite the absence. In this context, it is apposite to remember that state patronage or special protection by rulers figure nowhere in the conditions mentioned by the Buddha in the Maha-parinibbana Sutta as necessary for the welfare and growth of the sasana[viii].

Another encouraging instance of hitherto taboo issues coming into the open in the new enabling environment is that of the campaign wages by progressive groups such as the Women’s Action Network (WAN) against Article 16.

Article 16 of the 1978 Constitution upholds, in its entirety, the Muslim Marriage and Divorce Act of 1951. One of the many egregious results of this is that Muslim women and girl children are, denied by the constitution, several key constitutional rights and protections enjoyed by non-Muslim women and girl children. For instance, though the minimum age of marriage for Lankan girls is 16, a girl child from a Muslim family can be married at 12, or even below with consent from the Quazi courts[ix].

According to media reports, traditional Muslim political and religious leaders are opposed to any change in the Article 16 even though many Muslims countries have enacted laws criminalising child marriage (according to UN sources, in Algeria, Bangladesh, Jordan, Iraq, Malaysia and Morocco, the legal marriageable age for a female is 18; in Tunisia it is 20[x].). This issue has now been placed on the public stage, not as a divisive slogan or a racist slur, but as a serious topic of discussion, thanks to the open and inclusive nature of the constitution-making process.

This week Parliamentarian Wimal Weerawansa met the Chief Incumbent of the Malwatte Chapter with a tale of horror about a new constitution. The Mahanayake reportedly advised the parliamentarian not to succumb to paranoia or propagate phobia since the constitution-making process has been open and transparent so far.

Mr. Weerawansa cannot heed the advice. He and his Rajapaksa masters have a future only if Sri Lanka succumbs to the ills of the past. It is only if Lankan people return to the mire of paranoia and phobia and Lankan leaders ignore science, abandon sense and embrace superstitious cures and dictatorial solutions, the Rajapaksa dream of regaining power can become reality.

[iii][iii] Lankadeepa – 14.9.2016

JMO, who issued Lasantha’s postmortem report, serves at SAITM

SUNDAY, 18 SEPTEMBER 2016
It is reported that former JMO of Kalubowila Hospital Dr. Sunil Kumara who issued the for the postmortem  report of Lasantha Wickremetunga’s murder serves as a senior lecturer at SAITM private medical school at Malabe.
When the case was heard the CID stated in Court that according to evidence regarding the murder the postmortem report issued by then JMO at Colombo South Hospital Dr. Sunil Kumara is questionable and there are many points that are contradictory.
In the postmortem report issued by Dr. Sunil Kumara states thee were gun shot injuries but Prof. Mohan Silva who performed the surgery on Lasantha Wickremetunga before he died had noted that there were no gun shot injuries.
Also, the Government Analyst’s report states there were no gun shot injuries in Wickremetunga’s body.
Accordingly, the CID requested permission from the Court to exhume Lasantha Wickremetunga’s body as there is a contradiction between the report issued by Dr. Sunil Kumara and reports issued by other doctors.
The vice-chancellor of SAITM private medical school at Malabe is Dr. Ananda Samarasekera who is accused of issuing a false report to conceal the murder of popular rugby player Wasim Thajudeen and misplacing certain skeletal remains of Thajudeen’s body.
Meanwhile, the application filed by the vice-chancellor of SAITM Ananda Samarasekera seeking anticipatory bail stating he would be arrested by the CID in connection with the disappearance of skeletal parts of Thajudeen’s body was rejected and there is no obstacle to arrest him for concealing evidence of a murder.

SRI LANKA: THE HOAX OF PUBLIC CONSULTATIONS

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Sri Lanka BriefBy Feizal Samath.-18/09/2016

Glancing through the pages of a Sunday newspaper on September 11, my attention was drawn to a government notice calling for public representations on the 2017-2021 National Action Plan for Human Rights. Ok, this is great, I thought. Here is a government that not only talks of transparency but makes it happen day-in-day-out. I was about to ‘rally the troops’ (ask human rights groups whether they would be meeting to discuss some proposals to be presented) when I checked the closing date for public representations: Wednesday, September 14. Whoa! Just three (3) days for public representations and mind you Monday September 12 was a public holiday. Who’s fooling whom! Checking the website www.mfa.gov.lk that was listed for more details, one finds a different deadline listed here:

Friday, September 16 which also happened to be a public holiday. It was like some hidden hand in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs ticking off the boxes (one being the call for public representations) while the shoddy communication to the public could also be interpreted as a cosmetic gesture while a draft plan is been prepared. I was quickly reminded of veteran musician Sunil Perera’s popular baila “Lankaawe ape lankaawe” but further digging revealed another side of this tale. That, in fact several dozen rights activists, academics and lawyers – representing civil society – have been co-opted into three committees dealing with civil and political rights, economic, social and cultural rights; prevention of torture and rights of women and entrusted with preparing a draft in each sector.

However in the two drafting committees on labour rights and migrant worker rights, representation is not even minimal from civil society and the people who really matter. The only trade union representative in the labour rights group is Leslie Devendra, among the last remaining veteran trade unionists but who is also Director General for trade union activities at the President’s Office while the committee on migrant workers doesn’t have any people’s representative or prominent one. What’s going on? The five committees are believed to have had their first meeting last week and expect to finalise drafts for each sector by the end of October 2016 in preparation for the plan to be effective from next year. The newspaper notice by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs says inter alia that …

“the inter-ministerial committee, established by the Cabinet of Ministers, to develop a National Human Rights Action Plan for 2017- 2021 has decided to call for observations or views from all stakeholders, including the civil society and interested organisations on the drafting of a new … action plan.” “The Inter-ministerial Committee on Human Rights Action Plan requests all interested stakeholders to send in their observations or views preferably before 14 September 2016,” the notice said. This committee was appointed by the Cabinet on May 5, 2016 and it seems to have taken nearly four months to appoint drafting committees with hardly a month to prepare a final draft.

While other committees have ample representation from civil society though with limited time, labour rights and migrant worker rights are equally or even more important and not having civil society representation on two vital areas of Sri Lanka’s economy is inexcusable, particularly in today’s ‘Yahapalana’ environment. Some others who were associated with the previous 2011-2016 Action Plan discussions recall the many meetings in which civil society was involved in to draft the plan, five years ago and at a time when the Mahinda Rajapaksa-administration was ‘hostile’ towards human rights activists. What is surprising is the rush to prepare a draft by a government that is more amenable to human rights and warm towards the international community.

With some of the most respected names in the human rights discourse represented in committees on civil and political rights, economic, social and cultural rights; prevention of torture and rights of women, proposals emerging these groups are most likely to be much better than the previous plan; except for labour rights and migrant workers. On the other hand plans are a-plenty in Sri Lanka but whether it works or is made effective is another matter of concern. The labour rights drafting committee comprises U.H.C. Priyantha, Additional Secretary, Ministry of Labour; Rajiv Goonetilleke, Senior State Counsel; Dr. Champika Amerasinghe (a medical professional); Geoffrey Alagaratnam PC; Nigel Hatch PC; Leslie Devendra; Pearl Weerasinghe and S. Wimalaweeera, Ministry of Labour. Leslie Devendra and Nigel Hatch were also in this May 2011 drafting committee.

The rights of migrant workers committee this time has Yamuna Perera, Additional Secretary, Ministry of Foreign Employment; Yuresha de Silva, Senior State Counsel; Wasantha Seneviratne, Faculty of Law and a representative from the Ministry of Women and Child Affairs while in the May 2011 committee, Viola Perera from the Action Network for Migrant Workers which promotes Sri Lankan migrant workers, and W.M. Aponso representing employment agents were present. While in many ways, the administration is following a good practice of calling for tenders on public contracts and representation on issues of public importance, sometimes its behaviour like this week’s public call for representation on a human rights action plan is as if the ghosts of the Rajapaksas’ still prevail in the corridors of authority.

It’s not too late to co-opt proper civil society representation in these two committees and delay the final draft to mid or late-November to make sure a proper working paper is before the Cabinet rather that a slipshod effort to portray labour and migrant worker rights. Signing off after a holiday-filled seven days which as usual makes it one of many unproductive weeks in Sri Lanka here’s a line from Sunil’s classic … ‘Engalanthe ehema wunath lankawe ehema wenne na… Na na na me wage ratak aththe na”

Original caption:‘Lankawe Mehema Wenne Nehe …’ /Sunday Times

Colombo south port’s east terminal to India!

Colombo south port’s east terminal to India!

- Sep 18, 2016

The economic management committee of the prime minister has decided to handover the Colombo south port’s east terminal to India, alleges convener of the Samastha Lanka Varaya Sevaka Sangamaya Chandrasiri Mahagamage. This will threaten the livelihoods of the local labour force, he warns. Added to this, if the ETCA agreement is implemented, income earnings of the country will get blocked and the influx of the Indian labour will be unavoidable, he says further.

At present, India accounts for 90 per cent of container handling in South Asia, and if it gets hold of the Colombo south port’s east terminal, that figure will go up to 95 pc. The government has cancelled a tender to buy machinery to bring this terminal to operational status. The union alleges the PM’s economic management committee’s decisions have become more powerful than those of the cabinet of ministers. 
 
As per the plan to hand over the terminal to India, 85 pc of its income will go to India and 15 pc to Sri Lanka. Accordingly, the full ownership of the terminal will go to India.

Part I of III for layman; if you are an expert, Go Away!Primer on electricity expansion planning


 

Power planning with demand side response included

Spain’s Gemasolar 20 MW Concentrated Solar Generating (CSG) plant.The potassium salt primary circuit can store heat for a long time well after sunset.

by Kumar David

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Planning future additions to the electricity generation system is a long-term exercise extending over 20 to 30 years because if the order in which different types (technologies) and sizes of plant are added is incorrect (not optimal) it can be very costly and the system may be difficult to operate as load fluctuates or when something unforeseen happens. These are hundreds of billions of rupee (billions not millions) decisions not to be messed around with by amateurs nor an opportunity for amateurs with scant experience to fool politicians. Nevertheless it is possible to explain the basics to the concerned public - which will have to pay for it anyway. There is a story, apocryphal no doubt, that Einstein was wont to remark that Relativity could be explained to anyone in a way apposite to his familiarity with physics if one had mastered the theory oneself.

There is a storm brewing about the government’s hush-hush cancellation of the proposed Sampur coal-power joint venture project with India and fear that Lanka will be high and dry facing power shortages in a few years. Therefore ‘generation expansion planning’ is of public interest. I will set out the principles of planning as simply as possible and lay groundwork for dissection, in the next two thrilling instalments (sic!) of recent power sector conundrums and cock-ups.

Since the plan must stretch 20 to 30 years into the future it is divided into many stages for computational convenience; as an example let us assume a 20 year plan and divide it into five 4-year stages. Of course the planner is not committed for all 20 years since it is a rolling plan and only the immediate ‘next’ decision is important. A year or two later the planner redoes it all again, using the latest information then available, and again makes the best decision at that stage. A very critical but unsettled parameter is the anticipated load over this 20 year term; economic conditions, government policy, and global factors can play havoc with forecasts. Another surprise is technology as with the recent remarkable decline in solar electricity costs and rise in photovoltaic (PV) efficiencies. A rolling plan allows updating and correction and facilitates best decisions at each stage.

Generation Expansion Planning (GES)

A big difficulty in GES is what is called the curse of dimensionality as there is a whole gamut of different aspects or dimensions to bear in mind all at the same time. There are several future time stages to plan over. Many different fuel options (hydro if not already exhausted, nuclear, coal, natural gas and oil) and technology options (one big unit or a series of smaller ones, types of turbines, simple or combined cycle, reciprocating engines - gigantic cousins of the diesel engine under your car bonnet - and of course solar and wind whose dynamic behaviour is very different) are available. There are even more ‘dimensions’ to consider; ‘nested’ into expansion decisions are system operating issues corresponding to the state of the system at each intermediate stage; more on this ‘nested’ stuff in a moment. Finally, one does not wish to optimise only capital costs but capital, fuel and in the case of nuclear retirement costs; and of course one wishes to minimise not immediate costs but the sum of costs considered over the whole long period discounted to present values.

Let me illustrate the ‘curse of dimensionality’. Say we have 15 fuel-cum-technology options to choose from (fuels, locations, technologies, plant sizes and environmental options). Then think of it like this. We have 15 possible alternatives to choose now, that is in stage one - assume all are feasible – so there are 15 potential end points of the system (system states) at the end of stage one. If in stage two all 15 are feasible again we have 15 more choices from each of the end of stage one states, or 225 different states at which the system may be at the end of stage two. It’s like a tree branching out. If you go on with this game for five stages you end up with 759, 375 possible states at any one of which the system may end up (mathematically) after 20 years. Of course it never gets this crazy. Hundreds of intermediate options are ruled out at each step along the way for financial, technical (‘nested’), environmental or political reasons. Thus the multiplicative expansion is heavily curbed; still the problem is big and complicated enough to demand powerful computational packages.

One of the things that make it complicated is what I called the ‘nested’ issues. It is not enough to go stage by stage in economic analysis; that’s only the start of a headache. One has to pause and see if every state along the way is operable in the technical sense (power dispatch, reserve margins, stable, secure). If not this intermediate state is discarded; but what I am (the computer will) grumbling about is that one has to pause at every step, go off and do a whole lot of checks about the operability of every one of the hundreds (may be thousands) of intermediate optional states.

And all this just to get one ‘best’ path progression through the 20 year five stages! The ‘best’ (optimal in the jargon) is the cheapest path from start to finish that is also feasible. This then is the "optimal" among all feasible long term options. (Actually the best few, called sub-optimals, are worth bearing in mind). And all this just to choose the first step on this path because, as I alerted you, next year the planner will make the computer do all this work again because data would have changed in the interim – the rolling plan concept. Actually it’s not quite as bad as one can do sensitivity studies and prepare oneself for eventualities.

There are powerful computer programs. In my view the best algorithm for problems of this stage-by-stage nature is Dynamic Programming (DP). The CEB uses WASP (Wein Automatic System Planning), a proven package which utilises DP and checks many nested concerns. The US Electric Power Research Institute put out, with much fanfare, a package using an optimisation routine called gradient climbing nonlinear programming, but there were no takers; it seems to have been withdrawn. Another factor that needs pushing in Lanka but has not received much attention from the government is demand side management.

My intention today is not to teach you power system planning in one easy lesson but rather to give you a flavour of how serious a responsibility it is and that when politicos, on their own steam or under the influence of quacks, throw out carefully planned decisions with the aplomb of calling out to the chef "Change my order from omelette to scrambled egg" they are in all likelihood making billion dollar blunders.

Fuels and Technologies

Let’s keep it brief. Lanka has exploited nearly all its hydro and the bit left will be used soon. Nuclear like hydro is capital intensive but cheap to run but it will be resisted by the public for fear of accidents, radiation and hazardous waste. (It is probably no longer true that nuclear in sizes absorbable by Lanka are not available; the French are offering 150 MW plant at competitive prices). Mini hydro and firewood will make small contributions but must no longer be accepted at prices above avoided coal or LNG (liquefied natural gas) prices. Onshore wind potential is small unless you swallow the Grimm’s Fairy Tale accounts circulating in some quarters. Last month two offers of wind power at Rs 12 per kWh were received by the CEB. This is attractive but how much more is there available? Oil fired electricity penetrated Lanka due to the stupidity and cupidity of political leaders in the1990s and early 2000s. It is going to happen again; but more on that next week.

That leaves two base load bearing options – coal and LNG. The long term future may belong to LNG because coal is more environmentally damaging. This is not to say environmentally decent high-tech coal plant cannot be absorbed at all by Lanka, but more on that next week. Coal prices are fairly stable while LNG prices are volatile though attractively low right now. The only honest statement that can be made is that there is no reason to expect, at this moment in time, that one of these fuels will have a cost advantage over the other in the long-run. In that case LNG wins long-term from environmental and health considerations – the short-term is a cock-up reserved for next week. There is a point of concern about LNG; not even Lanka’s daft politicos will stick an LNG power plant in Trinco, the LNG harbour must be near load centres on the West coast to be financially viable. The $500 million land based harbour needed for LNG can only be justified if other usages (transport, industry, etc.) are involved. A floating harbour facility is cheaper than a land based harbour but entails an annual rental of about $50 million.

Solar electricity

The surprise in the last year has been a surge of interest and investment in solar electricity; PV (photo voltaic) technology, not concentrated solar electricity generation (CSG), is becoming a champion. CSG is where in a square kilometre or so of desert, curved mirrors are arranged around a central tower. The mirrors track the sun and focus radiation high on the tower where a potassium or sodium salt is liquefied. This primary fluid passes through ground level heat-exchangers where water is boiled, steam generated, turbines rotated and electricity generated in the usual way. The technique is irrelevant to Lanka.

PV is breaking new ground. In places high on the Andes and in desserts (Arabia, Middle East, US, India and North Western China) they are doing brisk business and expanding. In the best locations the new prices are competitive with coal and LNG; in Lanka solar insolation is less intense or reliable, and given the island’s demographics, accessible locations are limited. Nevertheless 1000 MW of utility (CEB) level PV is economically viable and can be installed within 10 to 15 years if a concerted effort is made. At 30% plant factor this is 2.6 terra-watt-hours of electricity a year or 20% of current generation – say 10% of 2030 output. Average prices at fairly good sites may fall as low as Rs 10 to 12 per kWh in the light of global technological trends.

There are three technical hitches with PV if used on a large scale. It is stochastic, meaning the sun may shine or clouds and rain may win at a moment’s notice, so normal plant must be built (capital cost duplication) and be available at all times. It is non-dispatchable, meaning the operator can’t get out of bed in the morning and say "I am going to dispatch so much PV today; take that Vicoria-3 out for maintenance". And thirdly PV plant does not add "inertia" to the system, meaning it does not help to smooth out frequency fluctuations or to ride through disturbances to system stability.