Darkness At Noon On The Ethnic Front – (2)
By Izeth Hussain -February 8, 2014 |
I must first of all make some clarifications on the point I made in my last article that India might someday impose a Cyprus-style solution to the ethnic problem in Sri Lanka: Indian troops invade Sri Lanka, carve out territory in the North-East for the separate state of Eelam, and hold the frontier thereafter. That process would be comparable to what happened in Cyprus: Turkish troops invaded that country, carved out territory for the Turkish Cypriots, held the frontier, and the de facto division has held for four decades.
The way we think is shaped to a substantial extent by the experiences we undergo, and very probably I would not be thinking along these lines at all if not for the fact that I went as Ambassador to Moscow in 1995. The political question that preoccupied me above all else at that time was this: how was it that so few foresaw the collapse of Soviet Communism despite all the expertise on that subject in the decades since 1945? It happened that I was in Sochi and Moscow attending a UN Conference in 1989, and I actually saw the collapse at its incipient stage. Howard Wriggings, one-time US Ambassador in Colombo and a political scientist by vocation, was also a delegate to that Conference, but he was also part of a group of Kremlinologists who were observing what was going on in Moscow. He told me they were stunned by the almost unanimity of the open denunciations of Communism by the Russians they encountered. My thinking was that the Soviet Union would go through a process of transformation similar to the one initiated in China by Deng Hsiao-ping’s economic reforms of 1979: a process of economic liberalization together with pluralism not amounting to democracy. I thought that that process would fit into the convergence theory of Raymond Aaron and others, which was much in vogue in the ‘sixties and ‘seventies, but came to be forgotten later. According to that theory the Western democracies and the Communist world would come to resemble each other because the latter would find itself forced to adopt the strategies required for the progress of the industrial society. Wriggins agreed that it was time to revisit the convergence theory.Read More













